--- title: "Schrodinger Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Schrodinger Case ($16.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 97.62% over 3,583 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case rendered: 2026-11-11T15:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Schrodinger Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Schrodinger Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case?window=all) Price · $16.07 · 24.72 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $14.46 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.62% · 3,583 openings, odds method Variance · 39.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 120.24% ±55.03 504 openings 7 days · 101.19% ±22.70 2,961 openings 30 days · 97.62% ±20.64 3,583 openings since tracking started · 97.62% ±20.64 3,583 openings 64.5% 120.3% 176.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case?window=24h) | 504 | 120.24% ±55.0 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case?window=7d) | 2,961 | 101.19% ±22.7 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case) | 3,583 | 97.62% ±20.6 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/schrodinger-case?window=all) | 3,583 | 97.62% ±20.6 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,639 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,901 2,925 gems | 32.9% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.32× | | [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $475 731 gems | 8.2% | 9 | 9.1 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $326 502 gems | 11.3% | 17 | 18.2 | 0.93× | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $168 259 gems | 5.8% | 10 | 18.2 | 0.55× | | [Sawed-Off \| Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $81.52 125 gems | 8.5% | 58 | 54.6 | 1.06× | | [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $50.65 77.92 gems | 7.0% | 78 | 72.8 | 1.07× | | [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $23.02 35.42 gems | 8.0% | 177 | 182.0 | 0.97× | | [SG 553 \| Barricade (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-barricade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $10.04 15.45 gems | 6.9% | 362 | 363.9 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) | 80.0% | $2.07 3.18 gems | 11.4% | 2,916 | 2911.2 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-11 01:06 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-09 07:22 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-09 02:51 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-08 22:49 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-08 20:52 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-06 22:36 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-05 16:46 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-05 06:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=schrodinger-case) [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $1,901 2,925 gems 118.3x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:57 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [P250 | Contamination (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-field-tested) Hidden $16.07 24.72 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $16.07 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.5% restricted 0.5% mil spec 2.0% rare 2.0% Rare 5.0% Common 10.0% Uncommon 80.0% best hit $1,901 (118.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt