--- title: "SciFi case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SciFi ($212.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 88.60% over 100 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [SciFi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · SciFi A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi?window=all) Price · $212.03 · 326 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $190.82 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.60% · 100 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 94 openings · below min 30 days · 88.60% ±32.53 100 openings since tracking started · 88.60% ±32.53 100 openings 40.5% 95.3% 150.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi?window=24h) | 36 | 95.15% ±54.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi?window=7d) | 94 | 88.68% ±33.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi) | 100 | 88.60% ±32.5 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scifi?window=all) | 100 | 88.60% ±32.5 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 112 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,170 1,800 gems | 61.3% | 8 | 11.2 | 0.71× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $466 716 gems | 24.4% | 16 | 11.2 | 1.43× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 10.0% | $101 156 gems | 5.3% | 9 | 11.2 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 10.0% | $60.70 93.39 gems | 3.2% | 11 | 11.2 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 10.0% | $44.52 68.49 gems | 2.3% | 13 | 11.2 | 1.16× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $29.46 45.32 gems | 1.5% | 9 | 11.2 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Just Smile (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-just-smile-factory-new) | 10.0% | $16.39 25.22 gems | 0.9% | 9 | 11.2 | 0.80× | | [Sticker \| Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) | 10.0% | $11.90 18.31 gems | 0.6% | 13 | 11.2 | 1.16× | | [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 20.0% | $4.20 6.46 gems | 0.4% | 24 | 22.4 | 1.07× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-07 23:14 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-07 16:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-05 20:55 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-05 20:55 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-05 00:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=scifi) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $101 156 gems 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $466 716 gems 2.20x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $60.70 93.39 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Sticker | Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) [clepto holding](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/clepto%20holding) $212 326 gems $11.90 18.31 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $4.20 6.46 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $60.70 93.39 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [Sticker | Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) Hidden $212 326 gems $11.90 18.31 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $212 326 gems $1,170 1,800 gems 5.52x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $212 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 20.0% covert 40.0% restricted 10.0% Ancient 10.0% classified 20.0% best hit $1,170 (5.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt