--- title: "Scout case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scout ($4.26) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 8 items with odds, observed 85.52% over 7,746 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout rendered: 2026-11-12T00:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Scout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Scout A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout?window=all) Price · $4.26 · 6.56 gems Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $3.83 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.52% · 7,746 openings, odds method Variance · 13.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.81% ±23.18 972 openings 7 days · 89.25% ±8.98 6,479 openings 30 days · 85.52% ±8.21 7,746 openings since tracking started · 85.52% ±8.21 7,746 openings 51.0% 75.0% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout?window=24h) | 972 | 74.81% ±23.2 | −1.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout?window=7d) | 6,479 | 89.25% ±8.98 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout) | 7,746 | 85.52% ±8.21 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scout?window=all) | 7,746 | 85.52% ±8.21 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,891 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $150 231 gems | 39.1% | 75 | 78.9 | 0.95× | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $31.21 48.02 gems | 16.3% | 161 | 157.8 | 1.02× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $13.85 21.3 gems | 14.4% | 280 | 315.6 | 0.89× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $13.66 21.01 gems | 17.8% | 360 | 394.5 | 0.91× | | [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.94 4.52 gems | 3.8% | 397 | 394.5 | 1.01× | | [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.64 2.53 gems | 2.1% | 364 | 394.5 | 0.92× | | [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.59 0.91 gems | 4.6% | 2,454 | 2367.3 | 1.04× | | [SSG 08 \| Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) | 48.0% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 1.8% | 3,800 | 3787.7 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=scout) [SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.59 0.91 gems 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:04 UTC [SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.59 0.91 gems 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:04 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:04 UTC [SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $13.66 21.01 gems 3.20x 2026-11-12 00:04 UTC [SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.59 0.91 gems 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:04 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) [guiness6248](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/guiness6248) $4.26 6.56 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:04 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:00 UTC [SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.59 0.91 gems 0.14x 2026-11-12 00:00 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:00 UTC [SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.56 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $4.26 | 89.94% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 6.0% classified 7.0% covert 4.0% #8847ff 5.0% #4b69ff 30.0% consumer 48.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt