--- title: "Scrunchy case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scrunchy ($15.67) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 88.22% over 4,408 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy rendered: 2026-11-11T22:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Scrunchy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Scrunchy A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy?window=all) Price · $15.67 · 24.1 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $14.10 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.22% · 4,408 openings, odds method Variance · 16.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.53% ±37.63 458 openings 7 days · 88.35% ±13.37 3,627 openings 30 days · 88.22% ±12.13 4,408 openings since tracking started · 88.22% ±12.13 4,408 openings 53.5% 91.8% 130.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy?window=24h) | 458 | 91.53% ±37.6 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy?window=7d) | 3,627 | 88.35% ±13.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy) | 4,408 | 88.22% ±12.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/scrunchy?window=all) | 4,408 | 88.22% ±12.1 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,511 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,219 3,414 gems | 7.9% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500 | $539 830 gems | 7.7% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $337 518 gems | 7.2% | 14 | 13.5 | 1.03× | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $278 428 gems | 19.7% | 48 | 45.1 | 1.06× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $58.07 89.34 gems | 4.1% | 38 | 45.1 | 0.84× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 13.0% | $23.07 35.49 gems | 21.3% | 583 | 586.4 | 0.99× | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 14.1% | $22.75 35 gems | 22.7% | 680 | 633.8 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 10.0% | $8.76 13.47 gems | 6.2% | 431 | 451.1 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) | 60.4% | $0.77 1.19 gems | 3.3% | 2,705 | 2724.7 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [JB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/JB) $15.67 24.1 gems $2,219 3,414 gems 141.7x 2026-11-07 16:25 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-10 17:02 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [metrostabins](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/metrostabins) $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-10 13:13 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-06 14:53 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-06 13:10 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [AyPato](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/AyPato) $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-06 12:36 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-05 04:31 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $539 830 gems 34.44x 2026-11-03 03:19 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=scrunchy) [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $23.07 35.49 gems 1.47x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $22.75 35 gems 1.45x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) [Danny](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Danny) $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:24 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Sticker | Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) Hidden $15.67 24.1 gems $0.77 1.19 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $15.67 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.3% classified 23.3% restricted 15.1% covert 1.0% High Grade 60.4% best hit $2,219 (141.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt