---
title: "Sealed Genesis Terminal case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sealed Genesis Terminal ($5.56) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 88.83% over 5,353 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sealed Genesis Terminal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sealed Genesis Terminal

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal?window=all)

Price · $5.56 · 8.55 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $5.00 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.83% · 5,353 openings, odds method

Variance · 17.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 116.36% ±32.27 629 openings

7 days · 84.84% ±12.57 4,142 openings

30 days · 88.83% ±11.06 5,353 openings

since tracking started · 88.83% ±11.06 5,353 openings

71.5% 110.5% 149.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal?window=24h) | 629 | 116.36% ±32.3 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal?window=7d) | 4,142 | 84.84% ±12.6 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal) | 5,353 | 88.83% ±11.1 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sealed-genesis-terminal?window=all) | 5,353 | 88.83% ±11.1 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,380 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $185 284 gems | 36.9% | 50 | 53.8 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $140 216 gems | 28.0% | 56 | 53.8 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $20.71 31.86 gems | 4.1% | 56 | 53.8 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $18.49 28.44 gems | 3.7% | 61 | 53.8 | 1.13× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $18.08 27.81 gems | 3.6% | 50 | 53.8 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.81 10.48 gems | 6.8% | 270 | 269.0 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.33 3.59 gems | 2.3% | 266 | 269.0 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.29 3.53 gems | 2.3% | 245 | 269.0 | 0.91× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.29 3.52 gems | 2.3% | 267 | 269.0 | 0.99× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.18 3.36 gems | 2.2% | 303 | 269.0 | 1.13× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.58 0.89 gems | 1.2% | 512 | 538.0 | 0.95× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.57 0.87 gems | 1.1% | 540 | 538.0 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.55 0.85 gems | 1.1% | 558 | 538.0 | 1.04× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.54 0.83 gems | 1.1% | 541 | 538.0 | 1.01× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.54 0.83 gems | 1.1% | 528 | 538.0 | 0.98× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.53 0.81 gems | 1.1% | 516 | 538.0 | 0.96× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.51 0.79 gems | 1.0% | 561 | 538.0 | 1.04× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sealed-genesis-terminal)

[MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC

[P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.58 0.89 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC

[Nova | Ocular (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $2.29 3.52 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC

[MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-factory-new) [FAB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FAB) $5.56 8.55 gems $2.33 3.59 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 21:58 UTC

[MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.54 0.83 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[MP5-SD | Focus (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.57 0.87 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-factory-new) Hidden $5.56 8.55 gems $0.54 0.83 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

[AUG | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-factory-new) [...](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/...) $5.56 8.55 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 21:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5.56 | 89.91% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 1.0% epic 1.0% pink 1.0% rare 2.0% Mythical 10.0% violet 5.0% #8847ff 10.0% blue 50.0% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt