--- title: "Serotonin Boost case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Serotonin Boost ($86.64) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 77.87% over 177 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Serotonin Boost](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Serotonin Boost A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost?window=all) Price · $86.64 · 133 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $77.97 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.87% · 177 openings, odds method Variance · 7.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 79.87% ±46.14 129 openings 30 days · 77.87% ±39.39 177 openings since tracking started · 77.87% ±39.39 177 openings 33.0% 79.8% 126.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost?window=7d) | 129 | 79.87% ±46.1 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost) | 177 | 77.87% ±39.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/serotonin-boost?window=all) | 177 | 77.87% ±39.4 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 183 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $4,712 7,250 gems | 12.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $777 1,195 gems | 3.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $318 489 gems | 10.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $295 454 gems | 26.5% | 14 | 12.8 | 1.09× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $199 306 gems | 25.5% | 22 | 18.3 | 1.20× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $87.93 135 gems | 11.3% | 23 | 18.3 | 1.26× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 10.0% | $37.25 57.31 gems | 4.8% | 19 | 18.3 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $15.41 23.7 gems | 3.0% | 18 | 27.4 | 0.66× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $9.72 14.95 gems | 1.9% | 29 | 27.4 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 30.0% | $4.93 7.58 gems | 1.9% | 58 | 54.9 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=serotonin-boost) [M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $15.41 23.7 gems 0.18x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $37.25 57.31 gems 0.43x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $9.72 14.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $9.72 14.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $9.72 14.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lost%20Panda) $86.64 133 gems $37.25 57.31 gems 0.43x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $9.72 14.95 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 00:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-field-tested) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $4.93 7.58 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 00:02 UTC [★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $295 454 gems 3.40x 2026-11-10 00:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-field-tested) Hidden $86.64 133 gems $4.93 7.58 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 00:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $86.64 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 82.5% rare 2.5% restricted 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt