--- title: "Seven Seas case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Seven Seas ($1,117.36) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 85.53% over 105 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas rendered: 2026-11-11T18:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Seven Seas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Seven Seas A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas?window=all) Price · $1,117.36 · 1,719 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,005.62 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.53% · 105 openings, odds method Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 93 openings · below min 30 days · 85.53% ±47.52 105 openings since tracking started · 85.53% ±47.52 105 openings -0.5% 110.3% 221.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas?window=24h) | 12 | 79.83% ±140.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas?window=7d) | 93 | 87.02% ±50.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas) | 105 | 85.53% ±47.5 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/seven-seas?window=all) | 105 | 85.53% ±47.5 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 111 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 10.0% | $9,315 14,331 gems | 92.6% | 10 | 11.1 | 0.90× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $829 1,276 gems | 4.1% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.08× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $382 588 gems | 1.9% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.08× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $43.16 66.4 gems | 0.6% | 20 | 16.6 | 1.20× | | [USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $41.61 64.01 gems | 0.6% | 15 | 16.6 | 0.90× | | [FAMAS \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $3.73 5.74 gems | 0.1% | 11 | 16.6 | 0.66× | | [SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $0.83 1.27 gems | 0.0% | 43 | 38.9 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-09 11:05 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-06 06:53 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [xCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xCK97x%20On%20Kick%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20%20CK97) $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-06 06:52 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [xCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xCK97x%20On%20Kick%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20%20CK97) $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-06 06:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-05 12:31 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-05 12:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-05 12:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-05 00:35 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $9,315 14,331 gems 8.34x 2026-11-03 22:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=seven-seas) [SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $43.16 66.4 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $41.61 64.01 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $43.16 66.4 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-dark-water-minimal-wear) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $1,117 1,719 gems $3.73 5.74 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $382 588 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,117 1,719 gems $43.16 66.4 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,117 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% sunny 5.0% restricted 30.0% mil spec 50.0% best hit $9,315 (8.34x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt