--- title: "Shark Attacks case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Shark Attacks ($19.92) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 12 items with odds, observed 110.00% over 4,173 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Shark Attacks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Shark Attacks A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks?window=all) Price · $19.92 · 30.65 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $17.93 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 110.00% · 4,173 openings, odds method Variance · 46.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 94.39% ±62.16 458 openings 7 days · 117.36% ±23.34 3,249 openings 30 days · 110.00% ±20.59 4,173 openings since tracking started · 110.00% ±20.59 4,173 openings 31.5% 94.3% 157.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks?window=24h) | 458 | 94.39% ±62.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks?window=7d) | 3,249 | 117.36% ±23.3 | +2.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks) | 4,173 | 110.00% ±20.6 | +1.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shark-attacks?window=all) | 4,173 | 110.00% ±20.6 | +1.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,197 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,640 5,600 gems | 20.3% | 8 | 4.2 | 1.91× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,217 1,872 gems | 13.6% | 10 | 8.4 | 1.19× | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $650 1,000 gems | 14.5% | 17 | 16.8 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $230 354 gems | 10.3% | 27 | 33.6 | 0.80× | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $91.62 141 gems | 7.7% | 59 | 63.0 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $53.78 82.74 gems | 12.0% | 214 | 167.9 | 1.27× | | [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $15.67 24.1 gems | 7.9% | 352 | 377.7 | 0.93× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 15.0% | $9.30 14.31 gems | 7.8% | 661 | 629.5 | 1.05× | | [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-factory-new) | 19.0% | $2.87 4.42 gems | 3.0% | 794 | 797.4 | 1.00× | | [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 19.0% | $1.90 2.92 gems | 2.0% | 781 | 797.4 | 0.98× | | [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) | 19.0% | $0.80 1.23 gems | 0.8% | 782 | 797.4 | 0.98× | | [Dual Berettas \| Shred (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-shred-factory-new) | 12.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.1% | 492 | 503.7 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-10 07:50 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-10 00:54 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-07 22:48 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-06 20:04 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-05 19:01 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-04 22:10 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-04 20:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $1,217 1,872 gems 61.09x 2026-11-10 12:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $1,217 1,872 gems 61.09x 2026-11-08 21:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=shark-attacks) [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $1.90 2.92 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $2.87 4.42 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $9.30 14.31 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-factory-new) [TwitchBaleszko](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TwitchBaleszko) $19.92 30.65 gems $2.87 4.42 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $9.30 14.31 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $9.30 14.31 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $1.90 2.92 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $19.92 30.65 gems $3,640 5,600 gems 182.7x 2026-11-11 10:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $19.92 | 89.98% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 0.1% covert 1.4% mil spec 47.5% restricted 13.0% consumer 19.0% #4b69ff 19.0% best hit $3,640 (182.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt