--- title: "Shocked case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shocked ($4.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.87% from 6 items with odds, observed 91.07% over 3,367 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked rendered: 2026-11-12T07:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Shocked](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Shocked A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked?window=all) Price · $4.11 · 6.32 gems Advertised RTP · 89.87% · EV $3.69 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.07% · 3,367 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 104.85% ±24.83 239 openings 7 days · 92.66% ±7.42 2,676 openings 30 days · 91.07% ±6.62 3,367 openings since tracking started · 91.07% ±6.62 3,367 openings 79.5% 105.0% 130.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked?window=24h) | 239 | 104.85% ±24.8 | +1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked?window=7d) | 2,676 | 92.66% ±7.42 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked) | 3,367 | 91.07% ±6.62 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shocked?window=all) | 3,367 | 91.07% ±6.62 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,367 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $42.69 65.68 gems | 40.5% | 123 | 117.8 | 1.04× | | [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $10.98 16.89 gems | 22.3% | 247 | 252.5 | 0.98× | | [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $6.42 9.87 gems | 17.4% | 334 | 336.7 | 0.99× | | [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.65 4.08 gems | 10.8% | 522 | 505.0 | 1.03× | | [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.35 2.07 gems | 7.3% | 658 | 673.4 | 0.98× | | [Zeus x27 \| Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 44.0% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 1.8% | 1,483 | 1481.5 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=shocked) [Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $2.65 4.08 gems 0.65x 2026-11-12 05:55 UTC [Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $2.65 4.08 gems 0.65x 2026-11-12 05:55 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-12 05:55 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $6.42 9.87 gems 1.56x 2026-11-12 05:55 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-12 05:55 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) [ur boi uio](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ur%20boi%20uio) $4.11 6.32 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-12 05:55 UTC [Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $1.35 2.07 gems 0.33x 2026-11-12 05:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-12 05:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-swamp-ddpat-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.04x 2026-11-12 05:23 UTC [Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.11 6.32 gems $6.42 9.87 gems 1.56x 2026-11-12 05:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $4.11 | 89.87% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 3.5% #8847ff 7.5% Legendary 10.0% Mythical 15.0% industrial 20.0% consumer 44.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.87 on average: an expected loss of $10.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt