--- title: "Shockwave case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shockwave ($47.36) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.49% over 119 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave rendered: 2026-11-11T19:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Shockwave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Shockwave A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave?window=all) Price · $47.36 · 72.86 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $42.62 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.49% · 119 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 94.63% ±24.51 101 openings 30 days · 94.49% ±22.58 119 openings since tracking started · 94.49% ±22.58 119 openings -0.5% 87.3% 175.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave?window=24h) | 3 | 31.91% ±142.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave?window=7d) | 101 | 94.63% ±24.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave) | 119 | 94.49% ±22.6 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/shockwave?window=all) | 119 | 94.49% ±22.6 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 119 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 10.0% | $208 321 gems | 48.9% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) | 10.0% | $76.98 118 gems | 18.1% | 14 | 11.9 | 1.18× | | [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-factory-new) | 10.0% | $47.28 72.74 gems | 11.1% | 17 | 11.9 | 1.43× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 10.0% | $31.66 48.7 gems | 7.4% | 15 | 11.9 | 1.26× | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) | 10.0% | $24.74 38.06 gems | 5.8% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) | 10.0% | $14.96 23.01 gems | 3.5% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 10.0% | $11.60 17.85 gems | 2.7% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.84 10.52 gems | 1.6% | 11 | 11.9 | 0.92× | | [Galil AR \| Sky Mandala (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sky-mandala-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.50 5.38 gems | 0.8% | 10 | 11.9 | 0.84× | | [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 0.1% | 8 | 11.9 | 0.67× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=shockwave) [Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $6.84 10.52 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $6.84 10.52 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $47.36 72.86 gems $31.66 48.7 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [AWP | Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $24.74 38.06 gems 0.52x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $47.28 72.74 gems 1.00x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC [M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $14.96 23.01 gems 0.32x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC [Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sky-mandala-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $3.50 5.38 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $208 321 gems 4.40x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC [Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sky-mandala-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $47.36 72.86 gems $3.50 5.38 gems 0.07x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) Hidden $47.36 72.86 gems $208 321 gems 4.40x 2026-11-09 23:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $47.36 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 10.0% rare 10.0% Mythical 10.0% covert 10.0% classified 10.0% #8847ff 10.0% restricted 20.0% #4b69ff 10.0% uncommon 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt