--- title: "Simple 10% Knife case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Simple 10% Knife ($14.51) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 108.61% over 208 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife rendered: 2026-11-13T05:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Simple 10% Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Simple 10% Knife A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife?window=all) Price · $14.51 · 22.32 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 108.61% · 208 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 156 openings · below min 7 days · 198 openings · below min 30 days · 208 openings · below min since tracking started · 208 openings · below min 42.5% 106.3% 170.0% **Small sample.** 208 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife?window=24h) | 156 | 106.41% ±63.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife?window=7d) | 198 | 100.87% ±51.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife) | 208 | 108.61% ±50.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/simple-10percent-knife?window=all) | 208 | 108.61% ±50.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $568 874 gems 39.17x 2026-11-13 05:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=simple-10percent-knife) [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $39.00 60 gems 2.69x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $185 285 gems 12.78x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC [Sticker | Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) Hidden $14.51 22.32 gems $0.17 0.26 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 05:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $568 (39.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 108.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $108.61 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt