--- title: "Six Figures? case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Six Figures? ($8,893.70) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 0.08% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Six Figures?](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Six Figures? A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures?window=all) Price · $8,893.70 · 13,683 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $8,004.25 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.08% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 76.5% 153.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures?window=24h) | 12 | 0.08% ±152.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures?window=7d) | 12 | 0.08% ±152.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures) | 18 | 0.08% ±124.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-figures?window=all) | 18 | 0.08% ±124.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $80K 123,020 gems | 99.9% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $20.85 32.07 gems | 0.0% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [Patch \| The Boss patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-the-boss) | 15.0% | $20.14 30.99 gems | 0.0% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 20.0% | $6.14 9.44 gems | 0.0% | 5 | 3.6 | 1.39× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.96 4.56 gems | 0.0% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) | 20.0% | $0.29 0.44 gems | 0.0% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=six-figures) [Patch | The Boss patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-the-boss) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $20.14 30.99 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Patch | The Boss patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-the-boss) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $20.14 30.99 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $2.96 4.56 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $2.96 4.56 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $20.85 32.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $8,894 13,683 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $6.14 9.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $6.14 9.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) Hidden $8,894 13,683 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $8,894 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 10.0% covert 15.0% exotic 15.0% classified 20.0% restricted 20.0% High Grade 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt