--- title: "Six Six One case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Six Six One ($54.84) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 40.71% over 874 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Six Six One](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Six Six One A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one?window=all) Price · $54.84 · 84.37 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $49.35 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 40.71% · 874 openings, odds method Variance · 508.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 2,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 102 openings · below min 7 days · 732 openings · below min 30 days · 874 openings · below min since tracking started · 874 openings · below min -0.5% 238.0% 476.5% **Small sample.** 874 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one?window=24h) | 102 | 38.51% ±437.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one?window=7d) | 732 | 39.81% ±163.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one) | 874 | 40.71% ±149.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/six-six-one?window=all) | 874 | 40.71% ±149.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 994 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $55.3K 85,000 gems | 56.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $634 975 gems | 5.8% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.56× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $484 744 gems | 4.9% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $260 399 gems | 5.3% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $96.59 149 gems | 5.9% | 28 | 29.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $83.97 129 gems | 5.1% | 37 | 29.8 | 1.24× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 40.0% | $11.02 16.95 gems | 8.9% | 402 | 397.6 | 1.01× | | [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 52.0% | $7.76 11.94 gems | 8.2% | 507 | 516.9 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-11 03:17 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-09 23:47 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-07 09:32 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-06 09:55 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-03 18:42 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $634 975 gems 11.56x 2026-11-03 02:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=six-six-one) [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $11.02 16.95 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $11.02 16.95 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-case-hardened-minimal-wear) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $7.76 11.94 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $54.84 84.37 gems $11.02 16.95 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $54.84 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 0.1% covert knife 0.4% gold 0.5% covert 4.0% extraordinary 3.0% restricted 92.0% best hit $634 (11.56x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt