---
title: "Skeletons case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Skeletons ($7.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 5 items with odds, observed 105.85% over 9,611 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Skeletons](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Skeletons

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons?window=all)

Price · $7.21 · 11.09 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $6.48 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 105.85% · 9,611 openings, odds method

Variance · 54.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 109.34% ±42.14 1,184 openings

7 days · 104.98% ±15.76 8,460 openings

30 days · 105.85% ±14.79 9,611 openings

since tracking started · 105.85% ±14.79 9,611 openings

66.5% 109.3% 152.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.96% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (91.07% – 120.64%, 9,611 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons?window=24h) | 1,184 | 109.34% ±42.1 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons?window=7d) | 8,460 | 104.98% ±15.8 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons) | 9,611 | 105.85% ±14.8 | +2.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skeletons?window=all) | 9,611 | 105.85% ±14.8 | +2.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,665 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 100 | $537 826 gems | 82.8% | 118 | 96.6 | 1.22× |
| [UMP-45 \| Bone Pile (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-field-tested) | 24.0% | $2.24 3.44 gems | 8.3% | 2,222 | 2319.6 | 0.96× |
| [P250 \| Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.12 3.26 gems | 8.2% | 2,419 | 2416.2 | 1.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.5% | 2,478 | 2416.2 | 1.03× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 0.3% | 2,428 | 2416.3 | 1.00× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 15:49 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 15:48 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 08:32 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 01:38 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 01:33 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-11 01:28 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $537 826 gems 74.49x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=skeletons)

[P250 | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $2.12 3.26 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) [ST](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ST) $7.21 11.09 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC

[UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-field-tested) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $2.24 3.44 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC

[UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-bone-pile-field-tested) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $2.24 3.44 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) [ST](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ST) $7.21 11.09 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-mask-factory-new) Hidden $7.21 11.09 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC

[P250 | Bone Mask (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bone-mask-factory-new) [ST](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ST) $7.21 11.09 gems $2.12 3.26 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $7.21 | 89.96% | 5 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed exotic 1.0% #4b69ff 24.0% consumer 25.0% blue 25.0% #B0C3D9 25.0% best hit $537 (74.49x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
