--- title: "Sleigh Ride case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sleigh Ride ($610.94) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 69.90% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride rendered: 2026-11-11T19:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sleigh Ride](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sleigh Ride A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride?window=all) Price · $610.94 · 940 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $549.83 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.90% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 52.5% 105.5% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 10.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride?window=7d) | 18 | 43.62% ±53.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride) | 42 | 69.90% ±35.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride?window=all) | 42 | 69.90% ±35.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2,303 3,543 gems | 41.9% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $1,053 1,619 gems | 28.7% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.11× | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) | 15.0% | $806 1,239 gems | 22.0% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.27× | | [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $385 592 gems | 3.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.43× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $261 401 gems | 2.4% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 10.0% | $42.04 64.68 gems | 0.8% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $15.31 23.55 gems | 0.3% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.43× | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.87 15.19 gems | 0.2% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× | | [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $8.96 13.78 gems | 0.3% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Gentle Anteater](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gentle%20Anteater) $611 940 gems $2,303 3,543 gems 3.77x 2026-11-03 16:04 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-07 19:44 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-03 16:06 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-03 16:05 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-03 16:04 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-03 16:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $611 940 gems $806 1,239 gems 1.32x 2026-11-07 19:44 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $611 940 gems $806 1,239 gems 1.32x 2026-11-06 11:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sleigh-ride) [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $8.96 13.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $8.96 13.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $15.31 23.55 gems 0.03x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $15.31 23.55 gems 0.03x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) Hidden $611 940 gems $42.04 64.68 gems 0.07x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) [clepto holding](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/clepto%20holding) $611 940 gems $9.87 15.19 gems 0.02x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $1,053 1,619 gems 1.72x 2026-11-07 19:44 UTC [★ Karambit | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $611 940 gems $806 1,239 gems 1.32x 2026-11-07 19:44 UTC [Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) Hidden $611 940 gems $42.04 64.68 gems 0.07x 2026-11-07 19:44 UTC [UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-minimal-wear) Hidden $611 940 gems $8.96 13.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 19:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $611 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 70.0% classified 5.0% extraordinary 5.0% pink 20.0% best hit $2,303 (3.77x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt