--- title: "Sleigh the Competition case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sleigh the Competition ($97.12) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 93.09% over 127 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition rendered: 2026-11-11T20:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sleigh the Competition](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sleigh the Competition A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition?window=all) Price · $97.12 · 149 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $87.40 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.09% · 127 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 93.09% ±17.02 127 openings since tracking started · 93.09% ±17.02 127 openings 65.5% 108.5% 151.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition?window=24h) | 24 | 111.48% ±39.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition?window=7d) | 36 | 97.89% ±32.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition) | 127 | 93.09% ±17.0 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-the-competition?window=all) | 127 | 93.09% ±17.0 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 127 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $327 502 gems | 37.4% | 14 | 12.7 | 1.10× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-well-worn) | 13.0% | $163 251 gems | 24.2% | 17 | 16.5 | 1.03× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 14.0% | $111 170 gems | 17.7% | 18 | 17.8 | 1.01× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $65.07 100 gems | 11.2% | 20 | 19.1 | 1.05× | | [USP-S \| Caiman (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-factory-new) | 16.0% | $32.77 50.42 gems | 6.0% | 12 | 20.3 | 0.59× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 16.0% | $15.98 24.59 gems | 2.9% | 24 | 20.3 | 1.18× | | [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 16.0% | $3.28 5.05 gems | 0.6% | 22 | 20.3 | 1.08× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sleigh-the-competition) [★ Karambit | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $327 502 gems 3.36x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $65.07 100 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $111 170 gems 1.14x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $65.07 100 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-well-worn) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $163 251 gems 1.68x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $15.98 24.59 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $15.98 24.59 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $15.98 24.59 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [★ Karambit | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $327 502 gems 3.36x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-well-worn) Hidden $97.12 149 gems $163 251 gems 1.68x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $97.12 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% classified 59.0% #ffd700 15.0% restricted 16.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt