--- title: "Snow Caps case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Snow Caps ($40.40) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 89.09% over 1,374 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps rendered: 2026-11-11T18:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Snow Caps](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Snow Caps A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps?window=all) Price · $40.40 · 62.15 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $36.36 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.09% · 1,374 openings, odds method Variance · 15.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 145 openings · below min 7 days · 93.29% ±23.26 1,079 openings 30 days · 89.09% ±20.61 1,374 openings since tracking started · 89.09% ±20.61 1,374 openings 32.5% 96.8% 161.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps?window=24h) | 145 | 96.73% ±63.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps?window=7d) | 1,079 | 93.29% ±23.3 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps) | 1,374 | 89.09% ±20.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snow-caps?window=all) | 1,374 | 89.09% ±20.6 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,383 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,435 2,208 gems | 39.5% | 16 | 13.8 | 1.16× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $548 843 gems | 15.1% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $260 401 gems | 7.2% | 16 | 13.8 | 1.16× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $214 330 gems | 11.8% | 17 | 27.7 | 0.61× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $175 269 gems | 9.6% | 20 | 27.7 | 0.72× | | [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $73.12 112 gems | 6.0% | 47 | 41.5 | 1.13× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $52.96 81.48 gems | 7.3% | 54 | 69.2 | 0.78× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $15.12 23.26 gems | 2.1% | 70 | 69.2 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.07 7.8 gems | 0.7% | 80 | 69.2 | 1.16× | | [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.59 2.45 gems | 0.4% | 130 | 138.3 | 0.94× | | [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.68 1.05 gems | 0.2% | 146 | 138.3 | 1.06× | | [M249 \| Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) | 55.0% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 0.2% | 774 | 760.7 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-10 19:26 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-10 13:50 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) [le johnson](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/le%20johnson) $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-09 04:49 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-09 04:49 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-09 03:31 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-08 05:43 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) [Thomas the termonuclear bomb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Thomas%20the%20termonuclear%20bomb) $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-07 21:21 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-05 18:44 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1,435 2,208 gems 35.52x 2026-11-05 13:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=snow-caps) [AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $1.59 2.45 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $15.12 23.26 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.68 1.05 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) [Trecky](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Trecky) $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [M249 | Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) Hidden $40.40 62.15 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $40.40 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.0% extraordinary 5.0% sunny 1.0% Industrial Grade 3.0% industrial 5.0% classified 5.0% restricted 25.0% Rare 55.0% best hit $1,435 (35.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt