--- title: "Snowbound Gift case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Snowbound Gift ($32.32) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 93.26% over 881 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift rendered: 2026-11-11T17:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Snowbound Gift](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Snowbound Gift A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift?window=all) Price · $32.32 · 49.72 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $29.08 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.26% · 881 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 58.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.80% ±11.13 418 openings 7 days · 94.14% ±7.78 855 openings 30 days · 93.26% ±7.66 881 openings since tracking started · 93.26% ±7.66 881 openings 80.0% 91.8% 103.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift?window=24h) | 418 | 91.80% ±11.1 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift?window=7d) | 855 | 94.14% ±7.78 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift) | 881 | 93.26% ±7.66 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/snowbound-gift?window=all) | 881 | 93.26% ±7.66 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 905 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $163 250 gems | 27.9% | 46 | 45.3 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 10.0% | $68.39 105 gems | 23.5% | 109 | 90.5 | 1.20× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $46.60 71.69 gems | 19.2% | 104 | 108.6 | 0.96× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 15.0% | $32.63 50.2 gems | 16.8% | 139 | 135.8 | 1.02× | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 15.0% | $16.48 25.36 gems | 8.5% | 135 | 135.8 | 0.99× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.76 5.78 gems | 1.9% | 129 | 135.8 | 0.95× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 28.0% | $2.13 3.28 gems | 2.1% | 243 | 253.4 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=snowbound-gift) [P250 | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $2.13 3.28 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $16.48 25.36 gems 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) [Zed\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Zed_) $32.32 49.72 gems $46.60 71.69 gems 1.44x 2026-11-11 12:15 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $16.48 25.36 gems 0.51x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $2.13 3.28 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC [MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC [USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) [Gustavo Fring](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gustavo%20Fring) $32.32 49.72 gems $32.63 50.2 gems 1.01x 2026-11-11 05:23 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $68.39 105 gems 2.12x 2026-11-11 04:46 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $68.39 105 gems 2.12x 2026-11-11 04:46 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $32.32 49.72 gems $68.39 105 gems 2.12x 2026-11-11 04:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.32 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed red 5.0% mil spec 25.0% classified 40.0% Ancient 15.0% #4b69ff 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt