---
title: "Souvenir 10% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Souvenir 10% ($9.80) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.62% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent
rendered: 2026-11-13T06:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Souvenir 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Souvenir 10%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent?window=all)

Price · $9.80 · 15.07 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.62% · 6 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 118.8% 238.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent?window=24h) | 6 | 87.62% ±149.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent?window=7d) | 6 | 87.62% ±149.6 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent) | 6 | 87.62% ±149.6 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/souvenir-10percent?window=all) | 6 | 87.62% ±149.6 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=souvenir-10percent)

[Souvenir Glock-18 | Night (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-night-well-worn) Hidden $9.80 15.07 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.12x 2026-11-12 18:34 UTC

[Souvenir Glock-18 | Night (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-night-well-worn) Hidden $9.80 15.07 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.12x 2026-11-12 18:34 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) Hidden $9.80 15.07 gems $45.97 70.72 gems 4.69x 2026-11-12 18:34 UTC

[Souvenir Glock-18 | Night (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-night-well-worn) Hidden $9.80 15.07 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.12x 2026-11-12 18:34 UTC

[Souvenir Glock-18 | Night (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-night-well-worn) Hidden $9.80 15.07 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.12x 2026-11-12 18:34 UTC

[Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-varicamo-blue-factory-new) [Starlight](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Starlight) $9.80 15.07 gems $0.88 1.35 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 18:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.62 on average: an expected loss of $12.38 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
