--- title: "Space Blue case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Space Blue ($129.81) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 88.01% over 1,538 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue rendered: 2026-11-11T15:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Space Blue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Space Blue A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue?window=all) Price · $129.81 · 200 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $116.83 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.01% · 1,538 openings, odds method Variance · 33.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 208 openings · below min 7 days · 79.28% ±30.45 1,402 openings 30 days · 88.01% ±29.08 1,538 openings since tracking started · 88.01% ±29.08 1,538 openings 18.5% 98.3% 178.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue?window=24h) | 208 | 98.23% ±79.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue?window=7d) | 1,402 | 79.28% ±30.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue) | 1,538 | 88.01% ±29.1 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space-blue?window=all) | 1,538 | 88.01% ±29.1 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,618 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $9,066 13,948 gems | 38.8% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $3,797 5,841 gems | 32.5% | 14 | 16.2 | 0.87× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,479 2,275 gems | 12.7% | 17 | 16.2 | 1.05× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $714 1,099 gems | 6.1% | 15 | 16.2 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $293 450 gems | 5.0% | 24 | 32.4 | 0.74× | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $79.37 122 gems | 1.7% | 34 | 40.4 | 0.84× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $37.28 57.36 gems | 1.9% | 102 | 97.1 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.28 11.2 gems | 0.6% | 144 | 161.8 | 0.89× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 10.0% | $3.68 5.66 gems | 0.3% | 152 | 161.8 | 0.94× | | [USP-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.74 2.67 gems | 0.1% | 157 | 161.8 | 0.97× | | [Dual Berettas \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.51 2.33 gems | 0.1% | 176 | 161.8 | 1.09× | | [MP7 \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 46.0% | $0.21 0.33 gems | 0.1% | 775 | 744.3 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-11 14:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-11 03:42 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-07 21:17 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-06 21:31 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-05 05:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-04 19:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $9,066 13,948 gems 69.84x 2026-11-03 21:27 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $130 200 gems $3,797 5,841 gems 29.25x 2026-11-10 17:14 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) Hidden $130 200 gems $3,797 5,841 gems 29.25x 2026-11-10 07:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=space-blue) [MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $0.21 0.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC [MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $0.21 0.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC [MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $0.21 0.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC [Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $1.51 2.33 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) Hidden $130 200 gems $3.68 5.66 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) Hidden $130 200 gems $37.28 57.36 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $130 200 gems $1,479 2,275 gems 11.39x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $0.21 0.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $1.51 2.33 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [MP7 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $130 200 gems $0.21 0.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $130 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% covert 2.0% classified 9.5% restricted 2.0% Mythical 10.0% pink 10.0% #8847ff 10.0% mil spec 10.0% blue 46.0% best hit $9,066 (69.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt