--- title: "SPACE case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SPACE ($30.08) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 74.79% over 399 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space rendered: 2026-11-11T15:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [SPACE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · SPACE A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space?window=all) Price · $30.08 · 46.27 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $27.06 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.79% · 399 openings, odds method Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 33 openings · below min 7 days · 72.82% ±19.12 359 openings 30 days · 74.79% ±18.14 399 openings since tracking started · 74.79% ±18.14 399 openings 5.5% 69.3% 133.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space?window=24h) | 33 | 69.38% ±63.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space?window=7d) | 359 | 72.82% ±19.1 | −1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space) | 399 | 74.79% ±18.1 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/space?window=all) | 399 | 74.79% ±18.1 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 415 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $261 402 gems | 29.0% | 9 | 12.4 | 0.72× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $184 283 gems | 20.4% | 8 | 12.4 | 0.64× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $122 187 gems | 13.5% | 14 | 12.4 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $76.26 117 gems | 8.5% | 13 | 12.4 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $41.20 63.38 gems | 4.6% | 15 | 12.4 | 1.20× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 15.0% | $21.44 32.99 gems | 11.9% | 54 | 62.2 | 0.87× | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 20.0% | $10.14 15.6 gems | 7.5% | 75 | 83.0 | 0.90× | | [P2000 \| Space Race (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-factory-new) | 25.0% | $4.25 6.54 gems | 3.9% | 107 | 103.7 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| Space Soldiers \| London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-london-2018) | 25.0% | $0.93 1.43 gems | 0.9% | 120 | 103.8 | 1.16× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=space) [Sticker | Space Soldiers | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-london-2018) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $0.93 1.43 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-factory-new) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $4.25 6.54 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $21.44 32.99 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P2000 | Space Race (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-factory-new) [\*Ajooo\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/*Ajooo*-269066) $30.08 46.27 gems $4.25 6.54 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Space Soldiers | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-london-2018) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $0.93 1.43 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $10.14 15.6 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [Sticker | Space Soldiers | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-london-2018) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $0.93 1.43 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [Sticker | Space Soldiers | London 2018 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-space-soldiers-london-2018) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $0.93 1.43 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) Hidden $30.08 46.27 gems $10.14 15.6 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [duccster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/duccster) $30.08 46.27 gems $21.44 32.99 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $30.08 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 3.0% covert 21.0% classified 6.0% red 20.0% restricted 25.0% High Grade 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt