--- title: "Spartan case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spartan ($76.59) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 81.58% over 1,291 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Spartan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Spartan A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan?window=all) Price · $76.59 · 118 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $68.93 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.58% · 1,291 openings, odds method Variance · 13.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 56 openings · below min 7 days · 78.85% ±23.72 921 openings 30 days · 81.58% ±20.04 1,291 openings since tracking started · 81.58% ±20.04 1,291 openings -0.5% 58.5% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan?window=24h) | 56 | 20.57% ±96.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan?window=7d) | 921 | 78.85% ±23.7 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan) | 1,291 | 81.58% ±20.0 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spartan?window=all) | 1,291 | 81.58% ±20.0 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,313 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,967 3,025 gems | 57.1% | 24 | 26.3 | 0.91× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $415 638 gems | 18.0% | 33 | 39.4 | 0.84× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $140 215 gems | 10.1% | 57 | 65.6 | 0.87× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $73.73 113 gems | 5.3% | 74 | 65.6 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 15.0% | $22.81 35.09 gems | 5.0% | 216 | 196.9 | 1.10× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 15.0% | $19.91 30.63 gems | 4.3% | 192 | 196.9 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) | 55.0% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 0.1% | 717 | 722.2 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [Willy the bear](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Willy%20the%20bear) $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-10 06:58 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-09 22:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-09 18:47 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-08 19:21 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-08 18:03 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-07 23:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [CODE:666 750LB 300GW](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CODE%3A666%20750LB%20300GW) $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-07 22:57 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-07 22:56 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $1,967 3,025 gems 25.68x 2026-11-07 19:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=spartan) [★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $140 215 gems 1.83x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) [Crown](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Crown) $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $19.91 30.63 gems 0.26x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [Sticker | The Spartan sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-spartan) Hidden $76.59 118 gems $0.13 0.2 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $76.59 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.0% extraordinary 8.0% classified 30.0% high 55.0% best hit $1,967 (25.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt