--- title: "Specter’s Touch case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Specter’s Touch ($46.83) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 105.76% over 797 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch rendered: 2026-11-11T13:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Specter’s Touch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Specter’s Touch A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch?window=all) Price · $46.83 · 72.05 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $42.14 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.76% · 797 openings, odds method Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 37 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 151 openings · below min 7 days · 107.06% ±30.07 701 openings 30 days · 105.76% ±28.20 797 openings since tracking started · 105.76% ±28.20 797 openings 76.5% 147.5% 218.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch?window=24h) | 151 | 152.89% ±64.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch?window=7d) | 701 | 107.06% ±30.1 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch) | 797 | 105.76% ±28.2 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/specters-touch?window=all) | 797 | 105.76% ±28.2 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 827 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,589 7,060 gems | 5.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,003 4,620 gems | 7.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,775 2,731 gems | 12.6% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.42× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $832 1,280 gems | 8.9% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $465 715 gems | 19.9% | 12 | 14.9 | 0.81× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $209 321 gems | 17.4% | 31 | 28.9 | 1.07× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $58.79 90.45 gems | 8.4% | 50 | 49.6 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $44.56 68.55 gems | 8.2% | 67 | 64.5 | 1.04× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 20.0% | $19.64 30.21 gems | 9.3% | 167 | 165.4 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 60.0% | $1.94 2.98 gems | 2.8% | 489 | 496.2 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $3,003 4,620 gems 64.12x 2026-11-10 22:54 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $3,003 4,620 gems 64.12x 2026-11-10 14:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1,775 2,731 gems 37.90x 2026-11-07 21:16 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [leaxx93](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/leaxx93) $46.83 72.05 gems $1,775 2,731 gems 37.90x 2026-11-07 05:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1,775 2,731 gems 37.90x 2026-11-06 13:06 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Ghastly](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ghastly) $46.83 72.05 gems $1,775 2,731 gems 37.90x 2026-11-06 08:27 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1,775 2,731 gems 37.90x 2026-11-05 13:49 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Sxm](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sxm) $46.83 72.05 gems $1,775 2,731 gems 37.90x 2026-11-03 02:34 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $832 1,280 gems 17.77x 2026-11-11 03:22 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $832 1,280 gems 17.77x 2026-11-08 12:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=specters-touch) [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $58.79 90.45 gems 1.26x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $58.79 90.45 gems 1.26x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $46.83 72.05 gems $58.79 90.45 gems 1.26x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $46.83 72.05 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $46.83 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 37.7% legendary 0.4% Covert 1.8% #8847ff 60.0% best hit $3,003 (64.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt