---
title: "Spectrum Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spectrum Case ($2.12) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.91% from 47 items with odds, observed 90.68% over 13.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Spectrum Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Spectrum Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case?window=all)

Price · $2.12 · 3.26 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.91% · EV $1.91 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.68% · 13.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 125.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 192 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 163.77% ±64.67 1,153 openings

7 days · 93.13% ±20.61 11.4K openings

30 days · 90.68% ±19.05 13.3K openings

since tracking started · 90.68% ±19.05 13.3K openings

71.0% 150.0% 229.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case?window=24h) | 1,153 | 163.77% ±64.7 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case?window=7d) | 11.4K | 93.13% ±20.6 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case) | 13.3K | 90.68% ±19.0 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spectrum-case?window=all) | 13.3K | 90.68% ±19.0 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,511 2,325 gems | 6.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,295 1,992 gems | 5.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,001 1,540 gems | 4.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $700 1,077 gems | 2.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $679 1,045 gems | 2.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $497 765 gems | 2.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $262 403 gems | 1.1% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.81× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $253 389 gems | 1.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $238 365 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $208 320 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $193 296 gems | 0.8% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $181 278 gems | 0.8% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.81× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $173 266 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $160 246 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $158 243 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $157 242 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $144 222 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $135 208 gems | 0.6% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $128 196 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $121 186 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $111 171 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $102 156 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $101 155 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $94.81 146 gems | 0.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.08 128 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $82.29 127 gems | 13.8% | 43 | 42.7 | 1.01× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $71.62 110 gems | 0.3% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.81× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $68.22 105 gems | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $67.50 104 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $66.61 102 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.87× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 12,500 | $62.33 95.89 gems | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $23.65 36.39 gems | 13.2% | 145 | 142.4 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $19.83 30.5 gems | 3.3% | 36 | 42.7 | 0.84× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $7.54 11.6 gems | 4.2% | 143 | 142.4 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $7.51 11.55 gems | 4.2% | 142 | 142.4 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.96 3.02 gems | 3.3% | 413 | 426.9 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.78 2.74 gems | 3.0% | 427 | 426.9 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.67 2.57 gems | 2.8% | 419 | 426.9 | 0.98× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.59 2.45 gems | 2.7% | 422 | 426.9 | 0.99× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.58 2.43 gems | 2.6% | 414 | 426.9 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.29 0.44 gems | 1.7% | 1,516 | 1524.9 | 0.99× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.24 0.37 gems | 1.4% | 1,523 | 1524.9 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 1.2% | 1,521 | 1524.9 | 1.00× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.20 0.3 gems | 1.2% | 1,453 | 1524.9 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.20 0.3 gems | 1.2% | 1,523 | 1524.9 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.19 0.29 gems | 1.1% | 1,565 | 1524.9 | 1.03× |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.18 0.27 gems | 1.1% | 1,616 | 1527.9 | 1.06× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $1,511 2,325 gems 713.1x 2026-11-05 18:29 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $1,295 1,992 gems 611.0x 2026-11-10 18:15 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [pot\*\*\*uch](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/pot***uch-2417273) $2.12 3.26 gems $1,295 1,992 gems 611.0x 2026-11-02 22:45 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $1,001 1,540 gems 472.2x 2026-11-07 00:56 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $700 1,077 gems 330.3x 2026-11-05 15:21 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $679 1,045 gems 320.6x 2026-11-10 16:56 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $497 765 gems 234.6x 2026-11-05 17:12 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $497 765 gems 234.6x 2026-11-03 23:13 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $262 403 gems 123.6x 2026-11-11 08:43 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $262 403 gems 123.6x 2026-11-05 05:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=spectrum-case)

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[MP7 | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $1.58 2.43 gems 0.75x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) [amarilo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/amarilo) $2.12 3.26 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[MAC-10 | Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $1.67 2.57 gems 0.79x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[P250 | Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) Hidden $2.12 3.26 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $2.12 | 89.91% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed sunny 0.0% covert 0.8% gold 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% Covert 0.0% other 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 12.8% Mythical 3.2% mil spec 22.8% Mil Spec Grade 11.4% #4b69ff 22.9% milspec 11.4% blue 11.4% best hit $1,511 (713.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.91 on average: an expected loss of $10.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt