--- title: "Speed Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Speed Case ($11.32) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 89.80% over 638 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case rendered: 2026-11-11T15:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Speed Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Speed Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case?window=all) Price · $11.32 · 17.41 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $10.18 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.80% · 638 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.30% ±30.38 116 openings 7 days · 83.62% ±14.34 521 openings 30 days · 89.80% ±12.96 638 openings since tracking started · 89.80% ±12.96 638 openings 50.5% 81.5% 112.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case?window=24h) | 116 | 81.30% ±30.4 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case?window=7d) | 521 | 83.62% ±14.3 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case) | 638 | 89.80% ±13.0 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/speed-case?window=all) | 638 | 89.80% ±13.0 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 662 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $150 231 gems | 14.7% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $101 156 gems | 10.0% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $32.96 50.7 gems | 6.5% | 10 | 13.2 | 0.76× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $27.51 42.32 gems | 13.5% | 32 | 33.1 | 0.97× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $25.92 39.88 gems | 12.7% | 33 | 33.1 | 1.00× | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 10.0% | $16.36 25.17 gems | 16.1% | 74 | 66.2 | 1.12× | | [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.58 8.59 gems | 11.0% | 113 | 132.4 | 0.85× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 20.0% | $4.76 7.33 gems | 9.4% | 139 | 132.4 | 1.05× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.09 4.75 gems | 4.5% | 103 | 99.3 | 1.04× | | [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 21.0% | $0.80 1.23 gems | 1.6% | 144 | 139.0 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=speed-case) [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $4.76 7.33 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $4.76 7.33 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $27.51 42.32 gems 2.43x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $4.76 7.33 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $11.32 17.41 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $4.76 7.33 gems 0.42x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [P90 | Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $5.58 8.59 gems 0.49x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $16.36 25.17 gems 1.45x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $11.32 17.41 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $11.32 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 42.0% mil spec 31.0% classified 7.0% covert 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt