--- title: "Spray God case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spray God ($18.34) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 98.73% over 2,282 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god rendered: 2026-11-11T18:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Spray God](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Spray God A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god?window=all) Price · $18.34 · 28.22 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $16.51 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.73% · 2,282 openings, odds method Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 101.06% ±32.02 222 openings 7 days · 101.52% ±10.60 2,025 openings 30 days · 98.73% ±9.99 2,282 openings since tracking started · 98.73% ±9.99 2,282 openings 68.5% 101.0% 133.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god?window=24h) | 222 | 101.06% ±32.0 | +0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god?window=7d) | 2,025 | 101.52% ±10.6 | +2.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god) | 2,282 | 98.73% ±9.99 | +1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/spray-god?window=all) | 2,282 | 98.73% ±9.99 | +1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,340 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,116 1,717 gems | 6.8% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.28× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $165 253 gems | 4.0% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.50× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $127 196 gems | 3.9% | 11 | 11.7 | 0.94× | | [Sawed-Off \| Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) | 14.0% | $71.39 110 gems | 60.6% | 349 | 327.6 | 1.07× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 10.0% | $34.29 52.76 gems | 20.8% | 258 | 234.0 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.67 2.57 gems | 2.0% | 426 | 468.0 | 0.91× | | [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.75 1.15 gems | 0.9% | 462 | 468.0 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.73 1.13 gems | 0.9% | 458 | 468.0 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Negev \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.27 0.42 gems | 0.2% | 359 | 351.0 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $1,116 1,717 gems 60.84x 2026-11-06 13:35 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $1,116 1,717 gems 60.84x 2026-11-06 13:35 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) [Dartt](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dartt) $18.34 28.22 gems $1,116 1,717 gems 60.84x 2026-11-06 05:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=spray-god) [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $34.29 52.76 gems 1.87x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $71.39 110 gems 3.89x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $0.73 1.13 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $71.39 110 gems 3.89x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-factory-new) [Pielenhofer](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pielenhofer) $18.34 28.22 gems $1.67 2.57 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $71.39 110 gems 3.89x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $34.29 52.76 gems 1.87x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $34.29 52.76 gems 1.87x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC [Sawed-Off | Copper (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-copper-factory-new) Hidden $18.34 28.22 gems $71.39 110 gems 3.89x 2026-11-11 18:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $18.34 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.1% Covert 0.4% #eb4b4b 0.5% mil spec 14.0% covert 10.0% Restricted 20.0% restricted 40.0% milspec 15.0% best hit $1,116 (60.84x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt