---
title: "Stealth Ops case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Stealth Ops ($56.23) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 93.10% over 263 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Stealth Ops](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Stealth Ops

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops?window=all)

Price · $56.23 · 86.5 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $50.60 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.10% · 263 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 7 openings · below min

7 days · 87.26% ±28.12 200 openings

30 days · 93.10% ±24.52 263 openings

since tracking started · 93.10% ±24.52 263 openings

-0.5% 95.5% 191.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops?window=24h) | 7 | 40.69% ±150.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops?window=7d) | 200 | 87.26% ±28.1 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops) | 263 | 93.10% ±24.5 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/stealth-ops?window=all) | 263 | 93.10% ±24.5 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 269 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,019 1,568 gems | 20.1% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $229 352 gems | 18.1% | 8 | 10.8 | 0.74× |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $179 276 gems | 17.7% | 14 | 13.4 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 20.0% | $82.99 128 gems | 32.8% | 62 | 53.8 | 1.15× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 10.0% | $22.89 35.21 gems | 4.5% | 20 | 26.9 | 0.74× |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) | 10.0% | $22.56 34.71 gems | 4.5% | 31 | 26.9 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.48 11.51 gems | 1.5% | 20 | 26.9 | 0.74× |
| [MP5-SD \| Bamboo Garden (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-bamboo-garden-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.23 1.9 gems | 0.2% | 26 | 26.9 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.05 1.62 gems | 0.2% | 19 | 26.9 | 0.71× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.84 1.29 gems | 0.3% | 66 | 53.8 | 1.23× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lost%20Panda) $56.23 86.5 gems $1,019 1,568 gems 18.12x 2026-11-09 23:47 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lost%20Panda) $56.23 86.5 gems $1,019 1,568 gems 18.12x 2026-11-09 03:11 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $1,019 1,568 gems 18.12x 2026-11-04 01:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=stealth-ops)

[USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $82.99 128 gems 1.48x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $22.56 34.71 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $7.48 11.51 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $56.23 86.5 gems $0.84 1.29 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $22.89 35.21 gems 0.41x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $0.84 1.29 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC

[USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $22.56 34.71 gems 0.40x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $0.84 1.29 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:49 UTC

[USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $22.56 34.71 gems 0.40x 2026-11-10 10:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $56.23 86.5 gems $229 352 gems 4.07x 2026-11-10 10:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $56.23 | 90.00% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.0% covert 4.0% classified 35.0% restricted 40.0% Consumer Grade 10.0% Rare 10.0% best hit $1,019 (18.12x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt