--- title: "Sticker Package case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sticker Package ($256.39) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 81.61% over 1,403 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package rendered: 2026-11-11T14:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sticker Package](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sticker Package A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package?window=all) Price · $256.39 · 394 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $230.75 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.61% · 1,403 openings, odds method Variance · 42.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 72.11% ±38.38 1,116 openings 30 days · 81.61% ±34.23 1,403 openings since tracking started · 81.61% ±34.23 1,403 openings 33.0% 281.5% 530.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package?window=24h) | 38 | 321.15% ±208.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package?window=7d) | 1,116 | 72.11% ±38.4 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package) | 1,403 | 81.61% ±34.2 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticker-package?window=all) | 1,403 | 81.61% ±34.2 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,469 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250 | $26K 40,000 gems | 45.1% | 5 | 5.9 | 0.85× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 63 | $2,912 4,480 gems | 20.2% | 16 | 23.5 | 0.68× | | [Sticker \| Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) | 1 in 33 | $715 1,100 gems | 9.3% | 52 | 44.1 | 1.18× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 20 | $336 516 gems | 7.3% | 73 | 73.4 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 10.0% | $201 309 gems | 8.7% | 148 | 146.9 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| 100 Thieves (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-holo-boston-2018) | 10.0% | $143 220 gems | 6.2% | 140 | 146.9 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) | 70.0% | $10.78 16.58 gems | 3.3% | 1,035 | 1028.3 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $256 394 gems $26K 40,000 gems 101.4x 2026-11-10 20:06 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $26K 40,000 gems 101.4x 2026-11-08 15:15 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $26K 40,000 gems 101.4x 2026-11-04 21:04 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $26K 40,000 gems 101.4x 2026-11-04 12:52 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $26K 40,000 gems 101.4x 2026-11-04 03:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $2,912 4,480 gems 11.36x 2026-11-10 01:56 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $2,912 4,480 gems 11.36x 2026-11-10 01:51 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $2,912 4,480 gems 11.36x 2026-11-08 07:45 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $2,912 4,480 gems 11.36x 2026-11-07 21:50 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $256 394 gems $2,912 4,480 gems 11.36x 2026-11-07 21:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sticker-package) [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) Hidden $256 394 gems $336 516 gems 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $256 394 gems $10.78 16.58 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $256 394 gems $715 1,100 gems 2.79x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $256 394 gems $10.78 16.58 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $256 394 gems $715 1,100 gems 2.79x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) [King-Hassany](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/King-Hassany) $256 394 gems $10.78 16.58 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $256 394 gems $10.78 16.58 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) Hidden $256 394 gems $10.78 16.58 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Holo) | Cologne 2016 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) [Kick/HarryJZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FHarryJZ) $256 394 gems $10.78 16.58 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC [Sticker | 100 Thieves (Holo) | Boston 2018 sticker · Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-holo-boston-2018) Hidden $256 394 gems $143 220 gems 0.56x 2026-11-11 02:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $256 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 15.4% legendary 1.6% contraband 3.0% Sticker 10.0% Remarkable 70.0% best hit $26K (101.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt