--- title: "Sticky Business case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sticky Business ($8.28) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 8 items with odds, observed 107.81% over 4,237 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business rendered: 2026-11-11T23:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sticky Business](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sticky Business A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business?window=all) Price · $8.28 · 12.74 gems Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $7.45 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 107.81% · 4,237 openings, odds method Variance · 17.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 115.37% ±41.10 390 openings 7 days · 114.93% ±14.60 3,093 openings 30 days · 107.81% ±12.47 4,237 openings since tracking started · 107.81% ±12.47 4,237 openings 73.5% 115.3% 157.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.94% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (95.34% – 120.28%, 4,237 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business?window=24h) | 390 | 115.37% ±41.1 | +1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business?window=7d) | 3,093 | 114.93% ±14.6 | +3.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business) | 4,237 | 107.81% ±12.5 | +2.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sticky-business?window=all) | 4,237 | 107.81% ±12.5 | +2.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,259 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 100 | $219 336 gems | 29.3% | 54 | 42.6 | 1.27× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy (Gold) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-gold-berlin-2019) | 1 in 100 | $205 315 gems | 27.5% | 58 | 42.6 | 1.36× | | [Sticker \| ropz (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 100 | $182 280 gems | 24.4% | 47 | 42.6 | 1.10× | | [Sticker \| Side Eyes (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-side-eyes-lenticular) | 1 in 14 | $6.22 9.57 gems | 5.8% | 278 | 298.1 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) | 20.0% | $2.55 3.93 gems | 6.9% | 847 | 851.8 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) | 20.0% | $1.16 1.79 gems | 3.1% | 879 | 851.8 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) | 25.0% | $0.57 0.88 gems | 1.9% | 1,061 | 1064.8 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Chompers sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chompers) | 25.0% | $0.30 0.46 gems | 1.0% | 1,035 | 1064.8 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sticky-business) [Sticker | Chompers sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chompers) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $0.30 0.46 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $2.55 3.93 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) [Crackkonsumierer23](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Crackkonsumierer23) $8.28 12.74 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Chompers sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chompers) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $0.30 0.46 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC [Sticker | Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $2.55 3.93 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $8.28 12.74 gems $1.16 1.79 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $8.28 | 89.94% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 9.0% remarkable 1.0% #d32ce6 20.0% #8847ff 20.0% common 25.0% #4b69ff 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt