--- title: "Strapped Up case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Strapped Up ($19.40) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.77% over 2,415 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up rendered: 2026-11-11T15:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Strapped Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Strapped Up A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up?window=all) Price · $19.40 · 29.85 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $17.46 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.77% · 2,415 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 73.95% ±26.40 360 openings 7 days · 94.02% ±11.34 1,951 openings 30 days · 94.77% ±10.19 2,415 openings since tracking started · 94.77% ±10.19 2,415 openings 47.0% 76.5% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up?window=24h) | 360 | 73.95% ±26.4 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up?window=7d) | 1,951 | 94.02% ±11.3 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up) | 2,415 | 94.77% ±10.2 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/strapped-up?window=all) | 2,415 | 94.77% ±10.2 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,465 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $455 700 gems | 13.0% | 13 | 12.3 | 1.05× | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $288 443 gems | 16.5% | 27 | 24.7 | 1.10× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $157 242 gems | 18.0% | 49 | 49.3 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport Factory New (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $97.50 150 gems | 14.0% | 67 | 61.6 | 1.09× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $54.09 83.22 gems | 12.4% | 126 | 98.6 | 1.28× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 10.0% | $18.67 28.72 gems | 10.7% | 249 | 246.5 | 1.01× | | [MAC-10 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.80 13.54 gems | 7.6% | 337 | 369.8 | 0.91× | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.76 5.78 gems | 4.3% | 474 | 493.0 | 0.96× | | [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.44 3.76 gems | 2.8% | 506 | 493.0 | 1.03× | | [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.53 0.81 gems | 0.8% | 617 | 616.3 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=strapped-up) [MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $8.80 13.54 gems 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $0.53 0.81 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $8.80 13.54 gems 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $2.44 3.76 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $19.40 29.85 gems $0.53 0.81 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $18.67 28.72 gems 0.96x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $18.67 28.72 gems 0.96x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $0.53 0.81 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $19.40 29.85 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $19.40 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.5% restricted 20.0% other 2.5% mil spec 10.0% classified 20.0% violet 20.0% #4b69ff 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt