--- title: "Sudden Wealth case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sudden Wealth ($114.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 102.11% over 390 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sudden Wealth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sudden Wealth A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth?window=all) Price · $114.61 · 176 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $103.14 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.11% · 390 openings, odds method Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 99.78% ±26.77 332 openings 30 days · 102.11% ±24.70 390 openings since tracking started · 102.11% ±24.70 390 openings 50.5% 114.0% 177.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth?window=24h) | 60 | 114.05% ±63.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth?window=7d) | 332 | 99.78% ±26.8 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth) | 390 | 102.11% ±24.7 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sudden-wealth?window=all) | 390 | 102.11% ±24.7 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 396 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,244 3,452 gems | 21.8% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $1,066 1,640 gems | 20.7% | 10 | 7.9 | 1.26× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $657 1,010 gems | 12.7% | 13 | 7.9 | 1.64× | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $494 760 gems | 9.6% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× | | [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $300 462 gems | 8.7% | 18 | 11.9 | 1.52× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $203 313 gems | 9.8% | 11 | 19.8 | 0.56× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $76.40 118 gems | 3.7% | 22 | 19.8 | 1.11× | | [M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $44.05 67.77 gems | 2.1% | 15 | 19.8 | 0.76× | | [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $24.53 37.74 gems | 8.3% | 139 | 138.6 | 1.00× | | [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 40.0% | $6.49 9.98 gems | 2.5% | 154 | 158.4 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) [☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A0) $115 176 gems $2,244 3,452 gems 19.58x 2026-11-10 20:02 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $2,244 3,452 gems 19.58x 2026-11-07 08:24 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $2,244 3,452 gems 19.58x 2026-11-04 03:57 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 21:43 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 20:15 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 20:02 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A0) $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 19:53 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 19:51 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-10 19:07 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $115 176 gems $1,066 1,640 gems 9.30x 2026-11-08 08:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sudden-wealth) [Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 176 gems $24.53 37.74 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 176 gems $24.53 37.74 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 176 gems $24.53 37.74 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $115 176 gems $300 462 gems 2.62x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) Hidden $115 176 gems $6.49 9.98 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $300 462 gems 2.62x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) Hidden $115 176 gems $24.53 37.74 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $115 176 gems $657 1,010 gems 5.73x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) Hidden $115 176 gems $494 760 gems 4.31x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $115 176 gems $6.49 9.98 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $115 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 12.0% red 3.0% classified 45.0% restricted 5.0% violet 35.0% best hit $2,244 (19.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt