--- title: "Sugar High case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sugar High ($5.67) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 8 items with odds, observed 87.08% over 2,626 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high rendered: 2026-11-11T19:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sugar High](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sugar High A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high?window=all) Price · $5.67 · 8.72 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $5.10 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.08% · 2,626 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.50% ±16.32 528 openings 7 days · 86.35% ±7.73 2,355 openings 30 days · 87.08% ±7.32 2,626 openings since tracking started · 87.08% ±7.32 2,626 openings 70.5% 87.5% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high?window=24h) | 528 | 87.50% ±16.3 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high?window=7d) | 2,355 | 86.35% ±7.73 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high) | 2,626 | 87.08% ±7.32 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sugar-high?window=all) | 2,626 | 87.08% ±7.32 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,638 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $67.12 103 gems | 13.2% | 29 | 26.4 | 1.10× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $41.84 64.37 gems | 16.4% | 48 | 52.8 | 0.91× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $38.42 59.1 gems | 18.8% | 65 | 66.0 | 0.99× | | [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $21.94 33.75 gems | 19.4% | 100 | 118.7 | 0.84× | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.59 8.6 gems | 11.0% | 282 | 263.8 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 10.0% | $3.25 5 gems | 6.4% | 268 | 263.8 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 30.0% | $1.11 1.71 gems | 6.5% | 793 | 791.4 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) | 40.0% | $1.07 1.64 gems | 8.4% | 1,053 | 1055.2 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sugar-high) [R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $1.07 1.64 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $38.42 59.1 gems 6.78x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $3.25 5 gems 0.57x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) [Cow](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Cow) $5.67 8.72 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:58 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [SG 553 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $5.59 8.6 gems 0.99x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $21.94 33.75 gems 3.87x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) Hidden $5.67 8.72 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-factory-new) [Pejchyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pejchyn) $5.67 8.72 gems $1.07 1.64 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5.67 | 89.97% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 1.0% classified 36.5% Mythical 2.5% industrial 10.0% pink 10.0% #8847ff 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt