--- title: "Summer of Profit case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Summer of Profit ($28.93) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 105.07% over 658 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit rendered: 2026-11-13T03:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Summer of Profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Summer of Profit A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit?window=all) Price · $28.93 · 44.51 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $26.03 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.07% · 658 openings, odds method Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 62 openings · below min 7 days · 105.90% ±28.27 483 openings 30 days · 105.07% ±24.22 658 openings since tracking started · 105.07% ±24.22 658 openings 61.0% 140.5% 220.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit?window=24h) | 62 | 140.32% ±78.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit?window=7d) | 483 | 105.90% ±28.3 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit) | 658 | 105.07% ±24.2 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/summer-of-profit?window=all) | 658 | 105.07% ±24.2 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 678 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $512 788 gems | 59.0% | 26 | 20.3 | 1.28× | | [Nova \| Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $146 225 gems | 16.9% | 17 | 20.3 | 0.84× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $117 180 gems | 18.0% | 28 | 27.1 | 1.03× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $18.01 27.7 gems | 4.1% | 32 | 40.7 | 0.79× | | [SG 553 \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 19.0% | $0.83 1.28 gems | 0.6% | 128 | 128.8 | 0.99× | | [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 21.0% | $0.73 1.12 gems | 0.6% | 147 | 142.4 | 1.03× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 22.0% | $0.59 0.9 gems | 0.5% | 154 | 149.2 | 1.03× | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 22.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 0.3% | 146 | 149.2 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 13 Nov, 02:19 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [fred](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fred) $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [fred](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fred) $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-13 01:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-13 01:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-13 01:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Thomas the termonuclear bomb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Thomas%20the%20termonuclear%20bomb) $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-11 04:12 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Stroky](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Stroky) $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-11 01:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=summer-of-profit) [Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.02x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.02x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $0.73 1.12 gems 0.03x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-anodized-navy-factory-new) [fred](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fred) $28.93 44.51 gems $0.83 1.28 gems 0.03x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $18.01 27.7 gems 0.62x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $0.73 1.12 gems 0.03x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $117 180 gems 4.05x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [fred](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fred) $28.93 44.51 gems $512 788 gems 17.71x 2026-11-13 01:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mudder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $0.59 0.9 gems 0.02x 2026-11-13 01:36 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $28.93 44.51 gems $18.01 27.7 gems 0.62x 2026-11-13 01:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $28.93 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 3.0% mil spec 9.0% covert 4.0% Rare 19.0% #87c7ff 21.0% industrial 22.0% restricted 22.0% best hit $512 (17.71x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt