--- title: "Sun Dried case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sun Dried ($13.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 12 items with odds, observed 88.12% over 8,165 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Sun Dried](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Sun Dried A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried?window=all) Price · $13.07 · 20.11 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $11.76 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.12% · 8,165 openings, odds method Variance · 42.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 122.38% ±45.08 801 openings 7 days · 90.54% ±14.93 7,302 openings 30 days · 88.12% ±14.12 8,165 openings since tracking started · 88.12% ±14.12 8,165 openings 73.5% 120.8% 168.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried?window=24h) | 801 | 122.38% ±45.1 | +1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried?window=7d) | 7,302 | 90.54% ±14.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried) | 8,165 | 88.12% ±14.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sun-dried?window=all) | 8,165 | 88.12% ±14.1 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,304 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,719 2,644 gems | 29.2% | 13 | 16.6 | 0.78× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $551 848 gems | 14.1% | 30 | 24.9 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $235 361 gems | 10.0% | 50 | 41.5 | 1.20× | | [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $126 195 gems | 10.8% | 81 | 83.0 | 0.98× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $59.44 91.44 gems | 10.1% | 164 | 166.1 | 0.99× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $35.16 54.09 gems | 6.0% | 167 | 166.1 | 1.01× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $23.42 36.03 gems | 6.0% | 234 | 249.1 | 0.94× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.03 23.12 gems | 6.4% | 399 | 415.2 | 0.96× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $6.77 10.42 gems | 3.5% | 492 | 498.2 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.43 3.74 gems | 2.1% | 831 | 830.4 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.81 1.25 gems | 1.4% | 1,713 | 1660.8 | 1.03× | | [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 0.6% | 4,130 | 4152.0 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-11 09:06 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-11 02:23 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [Kinder Egg Day Today](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kinder%20Egg%20Day%20Today) $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-10 18:09 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [Max1u |Respekcik| -YT-](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Max1u%20%7CRespekcik%7C%20-YT-) $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [Justski](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Justski) $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-07 23:42 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-07 20:29 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-07 15:22 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-07 08:17 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-06 09:49 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=sun-dried) [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $0.81 1.25 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $2.43 3.74 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $0.81 1.25 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $15.03 23.12 gems 1.15x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) [Booty Shaker](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Booty%20Shaker) $13.07 20.11 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $1,719 2,644 gems 131.5x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $0.15 0.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) Hidden $13.07 20.11 gems $2.43 3.74 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) [Zvrn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Zvrn) $13.07 20.11 gems $0.81 1.25 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $13.07 | 89.97% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.7% legendary 0.3% Restricted 11.0% #eb4b4b 2.0% milspec 3.0% blue 20.0% mil spec 50.0% best hit $1,719 (131.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt