--- title: "Suppressive Fire case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Suppressive Fire ($59.94) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 73.43% over 174 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire rendered: 2026-11-11T15:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Suppressive Fire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Suppressive Fire A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire?window=all) Price · $59.94 · 92.21 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $53.94 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.43% · 174 openings, odds method Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 79.99% ±49.56 150 openings 30 days · 73.43% ±46.02 174 openings since tracking started · 73.43% ±46.02 174 openings 18.5% 162.0% 305.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire?window=24h) | 18 | 162.02% ±143.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire?window=7d) | 150 | 79.99% ±49.6 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire) | 174 | 73.43% ±46.0 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/suppressive-fire?window=all) | 174 | 73.43% ±46.0 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 180 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,292 1,987 gems | 47.9% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× | | [Negev \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $212 325 gems | 27.5% | 11 | 12.6 | 0.87× | | [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-factory-new) | 13.0% | $80.34 124 gems | 19.4% | 18 | 23.4 | 0.77× | | [Negev \| Palm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-palm-factory-new) | 13.0% | $13.31 20.48 gems | 3.2% | 22 | 23.4 | 0.94× | | [M249 \| Humidor (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-factory-new) | 13.0% | $6.57 10.1 gems | 1.6% | 12 | 23.4 | 0.51× | | [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 13.0% | $0.94 1.44 gems | 0.2% | 24 | 23.4 | 1.03× | | [M249 \| Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.87 1.34 gems | 0.2% | 42 | 27.0 | 1.56× | | [M249 \| Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) | 24.0% | $0.09 0.14 gems | 0.0% | 47 | 43.2 | 1.09× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $1,292 1,987 gems 21.55x 2026-11-10 19:13 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $1,292 1,987 gems 21.55x 2026-11-08 15:07 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $1,292 1,987 gems 21.55x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $1,292 1,987 gems 21.55x 2026-11-03 00:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=suppressive-fire) [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.94 1.44 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M249 | Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.87 1.34 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [M249 | Humidor (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 22:04 UTC [Negev | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $212 325 gems 3.53x 2026-11-10 22:04 UTC [M249 | Humidor (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 22:04 UTC [M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-gator-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $59.94 92.21 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $59.94 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 2 24.0% classified 2.0% #4b69ff 7.0% Industrial Grade 13.0% industrial 26.0% Rare 13.0% restricted 15.0% best hit $1,292 (21.55x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt