--- title: "The Collector case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Collector ($171.35) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 78.76% over 360 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [The Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · The Collector A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector?window=all) Price · $171.35 · 264 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $154.21 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.76% · 360 openings, odds method Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 94.18% ±37.75 270 openings 30 days · 78.76% ±32.70 360 openings since tracking started · 78.76% ±32.70 360 openings 5.5% 95.8% 186.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector?window=24h) | 48 | 95.87% ±89.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector?window=7d) | 270 | 94.18% ±37.8 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector) | 360 | 78.76% ±32.7 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-collector?window=all) | 360 | 78.76% ±32.7 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 372 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $3,379 5,198 gems | 43.8% | 3 | 7.4 | 0.40× | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,885 2,900 gems | 24.4% | 12 | 7.4 | 1.61× | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $813 1,251 gems | 10.5% | 3 | 7.4 | 0.40× | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 14.0% | $192 296 gems | 17.5% | 70 | 52.1 | 1.34× | | [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) | 20.0% | $25.69 39.52 gems | 3.3% | 74 | 74.4 | 0.99× | | [G3SG1 \| Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.33 2.05 gems | 0.3% | 92 | 111.6 | 0.82× | | [MP7 \| Vault Heist (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-vault-heist-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.70 1.07 gems | 0.1% | 118 | 111.6 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $3,379 5,198 gems 19.72x 2026-11-06 09:21 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $171 264 gems $3,379 5,198 gems 19.72x 2026-11-05 05:43 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $3,379 5,198 gems 19.72x 2026-11-04 20:37 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) [buffe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/buffe) $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC [★ Karambit | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1,885 2,900 gems 11.00x 2026-11-07 23:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=the-collector) [XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $25.69 39.52 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [MP7 | Vault Heist (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-vault-heist-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $0.70 1.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $192 296 gems 1.12x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $192 296 gems 1.12x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [AWP | Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $192 296 gems 1.12x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) [Live @ Kick/JaekCreates](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20%40%20Kick%2FJaekCreates) $171 264 gems $1.33 2.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:52 UTC [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1.33 2.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1.33 2.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC [G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-ancient-ritual-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $1.33 2.05 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC [MP7 | Vault Heist (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-vault-heist-factory-new) Hidden $171 264 gems $0.70 1.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $171 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% epic 2.0% #d32ee6 14.0% Restricted 20.0% industrial 60.0% best hit $3,379 (19.72x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt