---
title: "The dreamer 1% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The dreamer 1% ($2.74) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 48.52% over 468 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [The dreamer 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · The dreamer 1%

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent?window=all)

Price · $2.74 · 4.22 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 48.52% · 468 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 468 openings · below min

30 days · 468 openings · below min

since tracking started · 468 openings · below min

-0.5% 52.3% 105.0%

**Small sample.** 468 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent?window=7d) | 468 | 48.52% ±56.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent) | 468 | 48.52% ±56.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-dreamer-1percent?window=all) | 468 | 48.52% ±56.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [LittleWinger](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LittleWinger) $2.74 4.22 gems $275 423 gems 100.2x 2026-11-06 14:22 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems $172 265 gems 62.88x 2026-11-06 06:00 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems $172 265 gems 62.88x 2026-11-06 05:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=the-dreamer-1percent)

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [LittleWinger](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LittleWinger) $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $2.74 4.22 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $275 (100.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 48.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $48.52 on average: an expected loss of $51.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
