--- title: "The Elites case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Elites ($2.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 7 items with odds, observed 88.43% over 8,085 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites rendered: 2026-11-11T18:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [The Elites](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · The Elites A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites?window=all) Price · $2.21 · 3.4 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $1.99 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.43% · 8,085 openings, odds method Variance · 11.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.84% ±21.31 1,009 openings 7 days · 85.79% ±7.98 7,199 openings 30 days · 88.43% ±7.53 8,085 openings since tracking started · 88.43% ±7.53 8,085 openings 60.0% 82.0% 104.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites?window=24h) | 1,009 | 81.84% ±21.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites?window=7d) | 7,199 | 85.79% ±7.98 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites) | 8,085 | 88.43% ±7.53 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-elites?window=all) | 8,085 | 88.43% ±7.53 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,150 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $49.10 75.54 gems | 49.4% | 169 | 163.0 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $18.22 28.03 gems | 36.7% | 294 | 326.0 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $2.76 4.25 gems | 12.5% | 734 | 733.5 | 1.00× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Oops graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-oops) | 20.0% | $0.10 0.16 gems | 1.0% | 1,609 | 1630.0 | 0.99× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Loser graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.2% | 1,629 | 1630.0 | 1.00× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.1% | 1,675 | 1630.0 | 1.03× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| QQ graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-qq) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 2,040 | 2037.5 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=the-elites) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $18.22 28.03 gems 8.24x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $2.76 4.25 gems 1.25x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Oops graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-oops) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser) [Zapi99](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Zapi99) $2.21 3.4 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | QQ graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-qq) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | QQ graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-qq) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $2.76 4.25 gems 1.25x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Loser graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-loser) Hidden $2.21 3.4 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.21 | 89.97% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.0% mil spec 4.0% milspec 9.0% other 85.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt