---
title: "The Hunter case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Hunter ($1.51) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 32 items with odds, observed 80.29% over 67.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [The Hunter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · The Hunter

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter?window=all)

Price · $1.51 · 2.33 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $1.36 from 32 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.29% · 67.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 166.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 336 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 98.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.32% ±31.39 6,500 openings

7 days · 81.95% ±10.80 54.9K openings

30 days · 80.29% ±9.71 67.9K openings

since tracking started · 80.29% ±9.71 67.9K openings

59.5% 91.5% 123.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter?window=24h) | 6,500 | 91.32% ±31.4 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter?window=7d) | 54.9K | 81.95% ±10.8 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter) | 67.9K | 80.29% ±9.71 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-hunter?window=all) | 67.9K | 80.29% ±9.71 | −1.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 68.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Clan-Mystik (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clan-mystik-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100,000 | $3,662 5,634 gems | 2.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,365 2,100 gems | 2.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| DickStacy (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 33,333 | $813 1,250 gems | 1.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25,000 | $487 749 gems | 1.4% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.09× |
| [Patch \| Bayonet Frog patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bayonet-frog) | 1 in 10,000 | $416 640 gems | 3.1% | 8 | 6.9 | 1.16× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $377 580 gems | 2.8% | 9 | 6.9 | 1.31× |
| [Sticker \| ESL Wolf (Foil) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-wolf-foil-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $358 551 gems | 2.6% | 4 | 6.9 | 0.58× |
| [Sticker \| 100 Thieves (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 5,000 | $323 496 gems | 4.7% | 9 | 13.8 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $287 442 gems | 4.2% | 16 | 13.8 | 1.16× |
| [Sticker \| HellRaisers \| Katowice 2014 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-katowice-2014) | 1 in 5,000 | $257 396 gems | 3.8% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $226 348 gems | 3.3% | 7 | 13.8 | 0.51× |
| [Sticker \| ScreaM (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scream-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 5,000 | $195 300 gems | 2.9% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 5,000 | $178 274 gems | 2.6% | 9 | 13.8 | 0.65× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $159 245 gems | 2.3% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 5,000 | $146 225 gems | 2.1% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Magisk (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magisk-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 3,448 | $130 200 gems | 2.8% | 29 | 19.9 | 1.45× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 3,448 | $116 178 gems | 2.5% | 26 | 19.9 | 1.30× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $110 170 gems | 3.2% | 21 | 27.5 | 0.76× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $104 160 gems | 3.8% | 37 | 34.4 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| tarik (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tarik-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 2,000 | $97.50 150 gems | 3.6% | 29 | 34.4 | 0.84× |
| [Sticker \| RUSH (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rush-gold-london-2018) | 1 in 2,000 | $91.00 140 gems | 3.3% | 24 | 34.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $84.50 130 gems | 3.1% | 30 | 34.4 | 0.87× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $78.00 120 gems | 2.9% | 29 | 34.4 | 0.84× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $71.50 110 gems | 2.6% | 27 | 34.4 | 0.79× |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,000 | $64.57 99.34 gems | 4.7% | 77 | 68.8 | 1.12× |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Foil) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-foil-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $58.50 90 gems | 4.3% | 68 | 68.8 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $52.00 80 gems | 3.8% | 70 | 68.8 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| mixwell (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,000 | $45.41 69.86 gems | 3.3% | 64 | 68.8 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $38.73 59.59 gems | 4.3% | 96 | 103.2 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| MLG (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mlg-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 667 | $35.57 54.73 gems | 3.9% | 91 | 103.2 | 0.88× |
| [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 667 | $32.36 49.78 gems | 3.6% | 89 | 103.2 | 0.86× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 98.6% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 1.9% | 67,849 | 67780.1 | 1.00× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | DickStacy (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-gold-katowice-2019) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $813 1,250 gems 536.5x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC

[Sticker | DickStacy (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-gold-katowice-2019) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $813 1,250 gems 536.5x 2026-11-07 13:38 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $487 749 gems 321.5x 2026-11-09 13:55 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $487 749 gems 321.5x 2026-11-07 23:13 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $487 749 gems 321.5x 2026-11-04 15:06 UTC

[Patch | Bayonet Frog patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bayonet-frog) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $416 640 gems 274.7x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC

[Patch | Bayonet Frog patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bayonet-frog) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $416 640 gems 274.7x 2026-11-08 08:05 UTC

[Patch | Bayonet Frog patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bayonet-frog) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $416 640 gems 274.7x 2026-11-08 00:02 UTC

[Patch | Bayonet Frog patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bayonet-frog) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $416 640 gems 274.7x 2026-11-07 23:13 UTC

[Patch | Bayonet Frog patch · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bayonet-frog) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $416 640 gems 274.7x 2026-11-07 07:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=the-hunter)

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) [nuuuuuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/nuuuuuu) $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.51 2.33 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.51 | 89.94% | 32 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% gold 0.1% exotic 0.1% covert knife 0.1% restricted 0.2% violet 0.0% sunny 0.0% Legendary 0.3% other 0.0% Exotic 0.1% covert 0.1% #d32ce6 0.2% industrial 0.1% #4b69ff 98.6% best hit $813 (536.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt