--- title: "The North Pole case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The North Pole ($60.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 93.22% over 144 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [The North Pole](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · The North Pole A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole?window=all) Price · $60.07 · 92.42 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $54.06 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.22% · 144 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 94.33% ±25.72 112 openings 30 days · 93.22% ±22.68 144 openings since tracking started · 93.22% ±22.68 144 openings -0.5% 106.5% 213.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole?window=24h) | 4 | 76.56% ±136.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole?window=7d) | 112 | 94.33% ±25.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole) | 144 | 93.22% ±22.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/the-north-pole?window=all) | 144 | 93.22% ±22.7 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 146 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 10.0% | $253 390 gems | 46.9% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× | | [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) | 10.0% | $173 266 gems | 32.0% | 12 | 14.6 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 10.0% | $62.66 96.4 gems | 11.6% | 20 | 14.6 | 1.37× | | [Sawed-Off \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-first-class-factory-new) | 10.0% | $21.05 32.39 gems | 3.9% | 10 | 14.6 | 0.68× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $10.68 16.43 gems | 2.0% | 13 | 14.6 | 0.89× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 10.0% | $8.20 12.62 gems | 1.5% | 17 | 14.6 | 1.16× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $5.51 8.47 gems | 1.0% | 21 | 14.6 | 1.44× | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.32 5.11 gems | 0.6% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Winterized (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-winterized-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.30 2 gems | 0.5% | 21 | 29.2 | 0.72× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=the-north-pole) [Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $173 266 gems 2.88x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $8.20 12.62 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-winterized-factory-new) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $1.30 2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-winterized-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $60.07 92.42 gems $1.30 2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $10.68 16.43 gems 0.18x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Winterized (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-winterized-factory-new) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $1.30 2 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-factory-new) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $3.32 5.11 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:37 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Seasons (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-factory-new) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $3.32 5.11 gems 0.06x 2026-11-10 16:45 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $253 390 gems 4.22x 2026-11-10 16:45 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $60.07 92.42 gems $253 390 gems 4.22x 2026-11-10 16:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $60.07 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 10.0% classified 20.0% covert 10.0% mil spec 10.0% pink 10.0% Legendary 10.0% restricted 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt