--- title: "Time Capsule case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Time Capsule ($10.14) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 12 items with odds, observed 84.31% over 3,060 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule rendered: 2026-11-11T16:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Time Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Time Capsule A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule?window=all) Price · $10.14 · 15.6 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $9.12 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.31% · 3,060 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.02% ±24.26 441 openings 7 days · 84.72% ±9.85 2,674 openings 30 days · 84.31% ±9.21 3,060 openings since tracking started · 84.31% ±9.21 3,060 openings 60.0% 85.0% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule?window=24h) | 441 | 85.02% ±24.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule?window=7d) | 2,674 | 84.72% ±9.85 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule) | 3,060 | 84.31% ±9.21 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/time-capsule?window=all) | 3,060 | 84.31% ±9.21 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,165 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 333 | $303 466 gems | 9.9% | 2 | 9.5 | 0.21× | | [DreamHack 2014 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-legends-holo-foil-2) | 1 in 333 | $189 290 gems | 6.2% | 8 | 9.5 | 0.84× | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-legends-holo-foil) | 1 in 71 | $134 206 gems | 20.5% | 46 | 44.3 | 1.04× | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-legends) | 1 in 50 | $47.97 73.8 gems | 10.5% | 74 | 63.3 | 1.17× | | [Atlanta 2017 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/atlanta-2017-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 50 | $42.83 65.89 gems | 9.4% | 59 | 63.3 | 0.93× | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-challengers) | 1 in 50 | $38.17 58.73 gems | 8.4% | 67 | 63.3 | 1.06× | | [ESL One Cologne 2015 Challengers (Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2015-challengers-foil) | 1 in 50 | $22.12 34.03 gems | 4.8% | 58 | 63.3 | 0.92× | | [DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Legends (Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-cluj-napoca-2015-legends-foil) | 10.0% | $11.70 18 gems | 12.8% | 308 | 316.5 | 0.97× | | [Sticker Capsule 2 container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-capsule-2) | 15.0% | $8.13 12.5 gems | 13.4% | 473 | 474.8 | 1.00× | | [Community Sticker Capsule 1 container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/community-sticker-capsule-1) | 15.0% | $1.52 2.34 gems | 2.5% | 497 | 474.8 | 1.05× | | [Halo Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-capsule) | 25.0% | $0.49 0.76 gems | 1.4% | 781 | 791.3 | 0.99× | | [Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) | 25.0% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.2% | 792 | 791.3 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=time-capsule) [Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Legends (Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-cluj-napoca-2015-legends-foil) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $11.70 18 gems 1.15x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) [XIII](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/XIII) $10.14 15.6 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [Halo Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-capsule) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [Sticker Capsule 2 container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-capsule-2) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $8.13 12.5 gems 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [Halo Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-capsule) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [Sticker Capsule 2 container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-capsule-2) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $8.13 12.5 gems 0.80x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [Halo Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/halo-capsule) Hidden $10.14 15.6 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) [Mr. Double Chilli Cheese](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mr.%20Double%20Chilli%20Cheese) $10.14 15.6 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $10.14 | 89.98% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 49.7% #B0C3D9 10.3% Base Grade 15.0% other 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt