--- title: "Tomb Raid case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tomb Raid ($26,431.00) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.22% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid rendered: 2026-11-11T15:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Tomb Raid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Tomb Raid A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid?window=all) Price · $26,431.00 · 40,663 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $23,787.66 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.22% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 88.8% 178.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid?window=7d) | 6 | 82.22% ±95.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid) | 6 | 82.22% ±95.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tomb-raid?window=all) | 6 | 82.22% ±95.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $127K 195,000 gems | 26.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $81.5K 125,320 gems | 17.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 40.0% | $32.5K 50,000 gems | 54.6% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,683 2,589 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 10.0% | $923 1,420 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $781 1,202 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $297 457 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $90.85 140 gems | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=tomb-raid) [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [P250 | Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-factory-new) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $90.85 140 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [M4A4 | Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-factory-new) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $297 457 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $26.4K 40,663 gems $32.5K 50,000 gems 1.23x 2026-11-07 12:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $26.4K | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% legendary 40.0% exotic 10.0% epic 10.0% restricted 10.0% milspec 10.0% best hit $32.5K (1.23x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt