--- title: "Toothless case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Toothless ($39.55) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 11 items with odds, observed 98.95% over 2,098 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Toothless](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Toothless A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless?window=all) Price · $39.55 · 60.85 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $35.59 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.95% · 2,098 openings, odds method Variance · 12.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.32% ±38.82 310 openings 7 days · 99.63% ±15.58 1,924 openings 30 days · 98.95% ±14.92 2,098 openings since tracking started · 98.95% ±14.92 2,098 openings 59.0% 98.5% 138.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless?window=24h) | 310 | 98.32% ±38.8 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless?window=7d) | 1,924 | 99.63% ±15.6 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless) | 2,098 | 98.95% ±14.9 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/toothless?window=all) | 2,098 | 98.95% ±14.9 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,126 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $941 1,447 gems | 26.4% | 19 | 21.3 | 0.89× | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $670 1,030 gems | 18.8% | 32 | 21.3 | 1.51× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $607 934 gems | 17.1% | 22 | 21.3 | 1.03× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $375 576 gems | 10.5% | 24 | 21.3 | 1.13× | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $286 440 gems | 8.0% | 21 | 21.3 | 0.99× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $209 322 gems | 5.9% | 21 | 21.3 | 0.99× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $166 255 gems | 4.7% | 26 | 21.3 | 1.22× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $146 225 gems | 4.1% | 26 | 21.3 | 1.22× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $85.94 132 gems | 2.4% | 14 | 21.3 | 0.66× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $73.70 113 gems | 2.1% | 15 | 21.3 | 0.71× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) | 90.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 1,906 | 1913.4 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-11 00:11 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-10 18:33 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-10 00:46 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-10 00:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-09 23:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-09 22:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-09 20:16 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-09 05:52 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems $941 1,447 gems 23.78x 2026-11-09 04:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=toothless) [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Mr. Teeth (Cash Green) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-mr-teeth-cash-green) Hidden $39.55 60.85 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $39.55 | 89.99% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.0% epic 1.0% other 90.0% best hit $941 (23.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt