--- title: "Track Star case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Track Star ($19.43) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 95.58% over 3,108 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star rendered: 2026-11-11T17:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Track Star](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Track Star A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star?window=all) Price · $19.43 · 29.89 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $17.48 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.58% · 3,108 openings, odds method Variance · 12.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 58.53% ±50.51 183 openings 7 days · 98.51% ±13.72 2,480 openings 30 days · 95.58% ±12.26 3,108 openings since tracking started · 95.58% ±12.26 3,108 openings 7.5% 60.2% 113.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star?window=24h) | 183 | 58.53% ±50.5 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star?window=7d) | 2,480 | 98.51% ±13.7 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star) | 3,108 | 95.58% ±12.3 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/track-star?window=all) | 3,108 | 95.58% ±12.3 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,179 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $556 855 gems | 31.8% | 38 | 31.8 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $276 424 gems | 31.5% | 65 | 63.6 | 1.02× | | [SG 553 \| Integrale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $82.35 127 gems | 18.8% | 118 | 127.2 | 0.93× | | [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) | 13.0% | $6.99 10.75 gems | 5.2% | 431 | 413.3 | 1.04× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.67 8.72 gems | 6.5% | 639 | 635.8 | 1.01× | | [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $4.43 6.82 gems | 5.1% | 616 | 635.8 | 0.97× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.83 1.27 gems | 0.9% | 631 | 635.8 | 0.99× | | [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.2% | 641 | 635.8 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-10 18:54 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-10 16:25 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) [Majestic Skunk](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Majestic%20Skunk) $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-10 13:42 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-10 00:34 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-09 22:32 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-09 19:09 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-09 19:09 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $556 855 gems 28.59x 2026-11-08 17:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=track-star) [AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $4.43 6.82 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $6.99 10.75 gems 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $5.67 8.72 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $6.99 10.75 gems 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $6.99 10.75 gems 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $19.43 29.89 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC [UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $19.43 29.89 gems $5.67 8.72 gems 0.29x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $19.43 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% covert 22.0% classified 17.0% restricted 20.0% #8847ff 20.0% violet 20.0% best hit $556 (28.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt