--- title: "Tranquility case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tranquility ($6.99) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 9 items with odds, observed 92.52% over 3,329 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Tranquility](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Tranquility A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility?window=all) Price · $6.99 · 10.75 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $6.29 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.52% · 3,329 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 94.17% ±13.53 557 openings 7 days · 90.33% ±5.86 2,976 openings 30 days · 92.52% ±5.54 3,329 openings since tracking started · 92.52% ±5.54 3,329 openings 80.0% 94.3% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility?window=24h) | 557 | 94.17% ±13.5 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility?window=7d) | 2,976 | 90.33% ±5.86 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility) | 3,329 | 92.52% ±5.54 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tranquility?window=all) | 3,329 | 92.52% ±5.54 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,489 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 10.0% | $38.99 59.99 gems | 62.0% | 372 | 348.9 | 1.07× | | [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.55 14.69 gems | 15.2% | 330 | 348.9 | 0.95× | | [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.66 11.78 gems | 12.2% | 350 | 348.9 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Entombed (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.27 8.11 gems | 4.2% | 148 | 174.4 | 0.85× | | [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3.39 5.22 gems | 2.7% | 169 | 174.4 | 0.97× | | [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.28 1.97 gems | 1.0% | 198 | 174.4 | 1.14× | | [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.89 1.37 gems | 2.1% | 537 | 523.3 | 1.03× | | [SG 553 \| Lush Ruins (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.10 0.16 gems | 0.2% | 486 | 523.3 | 0.93× | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.08 0.12 gems | 0.3% | 899 | 872.3 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=tranquility) [SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-factory-new) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $7.66 11.78 gems 1.10x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [P250 | Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $9.55 14.69 gems 1.37x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MAC-10 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) [Alboholics](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Alboholics) $6.99 10.75 gems $1.28 1.97 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $0.89 1.37 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) [YRKV](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/YRKV) $6.99 10.75 gems $7.66 11.78 gems 1.10x 2026-11-11 11:16 UTC [SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-factory-new) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.99 10.75 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 08:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $6.99 | 89.96% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 20.0% #d32ee6 10.0% Legendary 5.0% restricted 20.0% mil spec 5.0% gray 15.0% industrial 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt