--- title: "Trap Door case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Trap Door ($46.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 95.08% over 134 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Trap Door](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Trap Door A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door?window=all) Price · $46.50 · 71.54 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $41.85 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.08% · 134 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 95.50% ±18.47 108 openings 30 days · 95.08% ±16.58 134 openings since tracking started · 95.08% ±16.58 134 openings 76.5% 95.5% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door?window=7d) | 108 | 95.50% ±18.5 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door) | 134 | 95.08% ±16.6 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trap-door?window=all) | 134 | 95.08% ±16.6 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 182 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 10.0% | $131 202 gems | 31.4% | 20 | 18.2 | 1.10× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 10.0% | $111 170 gems | 26.4% | 23 | 18.2 | 1.26× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $65.07 100 gems | 15.5% | 21 | 18.2 | 1.15× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $58.70 90.31 gems | 14.0% | 11 | 18.2 | 0.60× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 10.0% | $30.25 46.54 gems | 7.2% | 21 | 18.2 | 1.15× | | [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.52 14.65 gems | 2.3% | 18 | 18.2 | 0.99× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) | 10.0% | $8.78 13.5 gems | 2.1% | 19 | 18.2 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $4.05 6.23 gems | 1.0% | 20 | 18.2 | 1.10× | | [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.12 0.18 gems | 0.0% | 17 | 18.2 | 0.93× | | [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 0.0% | 12 | 18.2 | 0.66× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=trap-door) [★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $65.07 100 gems 1.40x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $111 170 gems 2.38x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $65.07 100 gems 1.40x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $4.05 6.23 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $131 202 gems 2.82x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [P250 | Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $9.52 14.65 gems 0.20x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $30.25 46.54 gems 0.65x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-factory-new) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $8.78 13.5 gems 0.19x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $131 202 gems 2.82x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.50 71.54 gems $65.07 100 gems 1.40x 2026-11-10 16:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $46.50 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 10.0% restricted 20.0% #ffd700 10.0% gold 10.0% industrial 10.0% #d32ee6 10.0% classified 10.0% blue 10.0% Rare 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt