--- title: "Trash Can case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Trash Can ($34.72) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.06% over 424 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can rendered: 2026-11-11T22:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Trash Can](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Trash Can A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can?window=all) Price · $34.72 · 53.42 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $31.25 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.06% · 424 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 87.15% ±13.97 347 openings 30 days · 86.06% ±12.64 424 openings since tracking started · 86.06% ±12.64 424 openings 72.5% 87.3% 102.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can?window=7d) | 347 | 87.15% ±14.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can) | 424 | 86.06% ±12.6 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/trash-can?window=all) | 424 | 86.06% ±12.6 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 424 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $161 247 gems | 15.4% | 9 | 12.7 | 0.71× | | [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $139 214 gems | 17.8% | 18 | 17.0 | 1.06× | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $107 165 gems | 27.5% | 27 | 33.9 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 15.0% | $62.49 96.14 gems | 30.0% | 73 | 63.6 | 1.15× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 10.0% | $20.68 31.82 gems | 6.6% | 43 | 42.4 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ M249 \| Downtown (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.01 6.17 gems | 1.3% | 37 | 42.4 | 0.87× | | [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.75 4.23 gems | 0.9% | 55 | 42.4 | 1.30× | | [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.89 1.37 gems | 0.3% | 45 | 42.4 | 1.06× | | [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.38 0.59 gems | 0.2% | 70 | 63.6 | 1.10× | | [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.05 0.07 gems | 0.0% | 47 | 63.6 | 0.74× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=trash-can) [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $62.49 96.14 gems 1.80x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $4.01 6.17 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $0.89 1.37 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [P250 | Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $2.75 4.23 gems 0.08x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $0.38 0.59 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-downtown-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $34.72 53.42 gems $4.01 6.17 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $161 247 gems 4.63x 2026-11-10 22:02 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $0.89 1.37 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 22:02 UTC [G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $161 247 gems 4.63x 2026-11-10 22:02 UTC [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) Hidden $34.72 53.42 gems $0.38 0.59 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $34.72 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 31.0% Classified 4.0% classified 15.0% covert 10.0% milspec 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 15.0% #4b69ff 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt