--- title: "Turf War case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Turf War ($15.39) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 7 items with odds, observed 97.55% over 3,194 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war rendered: 2026-11-11T17:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Turf War](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Turf War A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war?window=all) Price · $15.39 · 23.68 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $13.85 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.55% · 3,194 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.76% ±20.09 570 openings 7 days · 96.85% ±9.37 2,617 openings 30 days · 97.55% ±8.49 3,194 openings since tracking started · 97.55% ±8.49 3,194 openings 67.0% 87.8% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war?window=24h) | 570 | 87.76% ±20.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war?window=7d) | 2,617 | 96.85% ±9.37 | +1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war) | 3,194 | 97.55% ±8.49 | +1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/turf-war?window=all) | 3,194 | 97.55% ±8.49 | +1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,242 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $150 230 gems | 75.6% | 259 | 226.9 | 1.14× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 18.0% | $15.80 24.31 gems | 20.5% | 519 | 583.6 | 0.89× | | [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.59 2.45 gems | 1.1% | 309 | 324.2 | 0.95× | | [Sawed-Off \| Jungle Thicket (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-jungle-thicket-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.04 1.6 gems | 0.8% | 327 | 324.2 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.72 1.1 gems | 0.8% | 511 | 486.3 | 1.05× | | [SSG 08 \| Spring Twilly (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.45 0.7 gems | 0.7% | 671 | 648.4 | 1.03× | | [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.39 0.6 gems | 0.6% | 646 | 648.4 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=turf-war) [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) Hidden $15.39 23.68 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) [Nami-Swan!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Nami-Swan!) $15.39 23.68 gems $1.59 2.45 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $15.39 23.68 gems $150 230 gems 9.71x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [P2000 | Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) [Liborosak](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Liborosak) $15.39 23.68 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-factory-new) Hidden $15.39 23.68 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $15.39 23.68 gems $150 230 gems 9.71x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [MP9 | Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) [Nami-Swan!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Nami-Swan!) $15.39 23.68 gems $0.72 1.1 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-factory-new) [Liborosak](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Liborosak) $15.39 23.68 gems $1.59 2.45 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $15.39 23.68 gems $15.80 24.31 gems 1.03x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-spring-twilly-factory-new) Hidden $15.39 23.68 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $15.39 | 89.97% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.0% classified 18.0% Mythical 10.0% consumer 10.0% mil spec 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% Rare 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt