--- title: "Tux case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tux ($13.40) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 9 items with odds, observed 103.42% over 1,372 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Tux](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Tux A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux?window=all) Price · $13.40 · 20.61 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $12.05 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 103.42% · 1,372 openings, odds method Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.02% ±25.87 240 openings 7 days · 101.50% ±12.19 1,082 openings 30 days · 103.42% ±10.82 1,372 openings since tracking started · 103.42% ±10.82 1,372 openings 59.5% 87.3% 115.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.97% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (92.60% – 114.24%, 1,372 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux?window=24h) | 240 | 86.02% ±25.9 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux?window=7d) | 1,082 | 101.50% ±12.2 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux) | 1,372 | 103.42% ±10.8 | +2.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/tux?window=all) | 1,372 | 103.42% ±10.8 | +2.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,382 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $239 368 gems | 19.9% | 20 | 13.8 | 1.45× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $117 181 gems | 9.7% | 17 | 13.8 | 1.23× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $47.85 73.61 gems | 4.0% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $36.85 56.69 gems | 21.4% | 119 | 96.7 | 1.23× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 15.0% | $18.48 28.43 gems | 23.0% | 205 | 207.3 | 0.99× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $7.74 11.9 gems | 9.6% | 212 | 207.3 | 1.02× | | [SSG 08 \| Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) | 20.0% | $5.53 8.51 gems | 9.2% | 256 | 276.4 | 0.93× | | [Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.83 2.81 gems | 3.0% | 286 | 276.4 | 1.03× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tuxedo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.12 0.18 gems | 0.2% | 255 | 276.4 | 0.92× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=tux) [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $7.74 11.9 gems 0.58x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $47.85 73.61 gems 3.57x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $5.53 8.51 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) [Daxo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Daxo) $13.40 20.61 gems $1.83 2.81 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC [SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $5.53 8.51 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $1.83 2.81 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tuxedo-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $18.48 28.43 gems 1.38x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $13.40 20.61 gems $18.48 28.43 gems 1.38x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-minimal-wear) [Xzoticqq](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Xzoticqq) $13.40 20.61 gems $7.74 11.9 gems 0.58x 2026-11-11 10:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $13.40 | 89.97% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 16.0% extraordinary 1.0% covert knife 1.0% industrial 7.0% Industrial Grade 15.0% mil spec 40.0% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt