--- title: "Twisted case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Twisted ($19,876.51) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 89.29% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted rendered: 2026-11-11T14:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Twisted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Twisted A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted?window=all) Price · $19,876.51 · 30,579 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $17,888.68 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.29% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 23.5% 89.3% 155.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted?window=24h) | 12 | 89.29% ±65.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted?window=7d) | 12 | 89.29% ±65.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted) | 12 | 89.29% ±65.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/twisted?window=all) | 12 | 89.29% ±65.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) | 20.0% | $55.3K 85,000 gems | 61.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 20.0% | $34.1K 52,500 gems | 38.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 15.0% | $66.31 102 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 15.0% | $22.11 34.02 gems | 0.0% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× | | [Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) | 15.0% | $3.74 5.75 gems | 0.0% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.21 0.32 gems | 0.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 2.78x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 2.78x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $19.9K 30,579 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=twisted) [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 2.78x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $22.11 34.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) (Blue Gem) (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new-blue-gem-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $55.3K 85,000 gems 2.78x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $19.9K 30,579 gems $34.1K 52,500 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $0.21 0.32 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $66.31 102 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $19.9K 30,579 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $19.9K | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 20.0% legendary 20.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 15.0% remarkable 15.0% #4b69ff 15.0% best hit $55.3K (2.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt